Reading NEON? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track NEON free→Reading NEON? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track NEON free→NASDAQInformation TechnologyElectronic ComponentsSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality is fragile, reported profits aren't backed by cash. Management's recent track record has been steady, but risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a tailwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 59% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk, as it trades below peer multiples while recent financials are weak. If NEON cuts guidance on the next call, that's a meaningful negative. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $1.14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $1.14 NEON trades at 8× p/s — 2.2× the 4× p/s peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $2.75 fair value is low-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 59% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -24%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only weak execution quality, a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 68% for the rest of the cohort, n=3704).
Over the trailing year it converted -1.32x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Information Technology names rated fragile grew net income 46% of the time over the next year (vs 65% for the rest of the cohort, n=2129).
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
3 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated stable grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=797).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 0% of the last 1 guided quarters · -110.8% avg surprise
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$274.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$832.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $9,611.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If the sector's revenue growth slows, it could hurt Neonode's performance. This is important for understanding market conditions.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth reported below its median for the last quarter.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains above its median for the last quarter.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for NEON yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 13, 2026, Neonode Inc. (the “Company”) reported its earnings for the three months ended March 31, 2026 (the “Earnings Release”). A copy of the Earnings Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), o…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2024-Q2, 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Electronic Components.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
NEON Neonode, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 48 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
APH Amphenol | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 67 of 100 | full | moderate |
GLW Corning Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 41 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
COHR Coherent Corp. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 33 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
LFUS Littelfuse | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 99 of 100 | full | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on expanding the MultiSensing business to drive growth in 2026.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Revenue increased from $520,000 in 2025-Q4 to $614,000 in 2026-Q1, indicating some progress in growth efforts. However, the net income remains negative at -$1,863,000, showing limited progress in achieving profitability. The focus on MultiSensing growth is a new initiative, and its impact is yet to be fully realized.
“In 2026, our focus is squarely on driving growth for our MultiSensing business.”
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if Neonode can improve its financial situation. Investors will look for signs of recovery.
Confirms one read:Earnings show a smaller loss than last quarter. This means things are getting better.
Confirms the other:Earnings report shows a larger loss than the previous quarter, signaling ongoing struggles.
Why it matters: New priorities could signal a shift in how Neonode plans to address its challenges. This can impact future performance.
Confirms one read:Management shares a new plan focused on making more money or growing.
Confirms the other:Management sticks to the same plan. There are no changes or improvements.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 18, 2026, Neonode Inc. (the “Company”) reported its earnings for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025 (the “Earnings Release”). A copy of the Earnings Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 6, 2025, Neonode Inc. (the “Company”) reported its earnings for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025 (the “Earnings Release”). A copy of the Earnings Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “…
Regulation FD Disclosure On September 3, 2025, Neonode Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing anticipated financial proceeds from patent lawsuit settlement between Neonode Smartphone LLC, a subsidiary of Aequitas Technologies LLC, an unrelated third party (“Aequitas”), and Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd. (“Samsung”) (Civil Action No. 6:20-cv-00507) pertaining to the alleged infringement of certain patents assigned by the Company to Aequitas. The press release, which is furnished…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 13, 2025, Neonode Inc. (the “Company”) reported its earnings for the three and six months ended June 30, 2025 (the “Earnings Release”). A copy of the Earnings Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchang…