Reading MYE? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track MYE free→Reading MYE? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track MYE free→NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong, and earnings quality is robust, cash backs up reported profits. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, while risk is moderate. The sector backdrop is a headwind, and compared with sector peers, MYE is typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 32% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is fair, quality intact. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $26.76. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $27 MYE trades at 21× p/e — 1.3× the 15× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $20 fair value is medium-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 33% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 1%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated strong grew net income 70% of the time over the next year (vs 53% for the rest of the cohort, n=2844).
Over the trailing year it converted 3.91x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated robust grew net income 65% of the time over the next year (vs 49% for the rest of the cohort, n=2427).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.33 → $0.32 (-3.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
Divergence: fundamentals are strong but estimates are being cut. Worth reading the recent material events.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$132.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$300.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $1,246.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show how Myers Industries is performing amid sector challenges. It will provide insight into future growth.
Confirms one read:Earnings report shows revenue growth or improved margins compared to last year.
Confirms the other:Earnings report shows declining revenue or margins compared to last year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for MYE yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 7, 2026, Myers Industries, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing earnings results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. The full text of the press release issued in connection with the announcement is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. In addition, a copy of the presentation which will be discussed during the Company’s earnings conference call at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time on May 7, 2026, is av…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
MYE Myers Industries, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 32 of 100 | full | moderate |
SW Smurfit Westrock | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 18 of 100 | fair | elevated |
PKG Packaging Corporation of America | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 80 of 100 | fair | moderate |
IP International Paper | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 49 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
AMCR Amcor | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 48 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
4 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=646).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
The company aims to achieve $20 million in cost savings, primarily in SG&A, by the end of 2025.
The company expects moderate growth in the Industrial segment, which accounts for 41% of sales.
The company expects strong growth in the Infrastructure segment, which accounts for 21% of sales.
Why it matters: Retail sales data can indicate consumer spending trends. This is important for Myers Industries' outlook.
Confirms one read:Retail sales report shows an increase in consumer spending month over month.
Confirms the other:Retail sales report shows a decrease in consumer spending month over month.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 5, 2026, Myers Industries, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing earnings results for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025. The full text of the press release issued in connection with the announcement is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. In addition, a copy of the presentation which will be discussed during the Company’s earnings conference call at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time on March 5, 2026…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 30, 2025, Myers Industries, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing earnings results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. The full text of the press release issued in connection with the announcement is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. In addition, a copy of the presentation which will be discussed during the Company’s earnings conference call at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time on October 30…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On September 22, 2025, Myers Industries, Inc. (the “Company”) announced that the Company’s Board of Directors (the “Board”), upon the recommendation of the Corporate Governance Committee of the Board, had authorized an increase in the number of directors from eight to nine and authorized the appointment of Helmuth Ludwig as a director, effective Oc…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On September 5, 2025, Myers Industries, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the appointment of Samantha Rutty as the Company’s Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer effective September 22, 2025. Daniel Hoehn, who was appointed as Interim Chief Financial Officer effective May 2, 2025, as first reported in the Compan…