Reading MXC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track MXC free→Reading MXC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track MXC free→AMEXEnergyOil & Gas E&pSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral. Earnings quality is mixed. Management's recent track record has been steady. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 9% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $8.40. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $8.40 MXC trades at 14× p/e, in line with its 12× p/e peer median. Our $9.37 fair value reflects that, high confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price sits about 10% below a flat-multiple fair value; not enough history to forecast a comparison. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Energy names rated neutral grew net income 53% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=1255).
Over the trailing year it converted 2.48x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Energy names rated neutral grew net income 33% of the time over the next year (vs 48% for the rest of the cohort, n=789).
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
2 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Energy names rated stable grew net income 53% of the time over the next year (vs 45% for the rest of the cohort, n=249).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLE
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$203.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$663.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $4,504.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: The dividend payment shows financial health. Missing it could signal trouble.
Confirms:The company pays the declared dividend of $0.10 per share on June 30, 2026.
Disproves:The company stops or lowers the dividend payment.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for MXC yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Other Events. On June 4, 2026, Mexco Energy Corporation issued a news release to announce that its board of directors declared a regular annual cash dividend of $0.10 per share payable on June 30, 2026 to stockholders of record on June 15, 2026. Attached as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release relating to the announcement, which is incorporated herein by reference.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Oil & Gas Exploration & Production.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
MXC Mexco Energy Corp | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 51 of 100 | fair | high |
COP ConocoPhillips | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 91 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
EOG EOG Resources | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 95 of 100 | full | moderate |
OXY Occidental Petroleum | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 83 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
FANG Diamondback Energy | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 55 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
The company plans to participate in the drilling and completion of 50 horizontal wells by fiscal year end.
Not yet measured, building a track record across disclosures.
The company declared a regular annual cash dividend of $0.10 per share.
Why it matters: Drilling these wells is key for growth. Delays could hurt future revenue.
Confirms:Management reports completion of at least 10 horizontal wells by the end of Q3 2026.
Disproves:No new wells are completed by the end of Q3 2026.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 10, 2026, Mexco Energy Corporation (the “Registrant”) issued a news release to announce its financial results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 12, 2025, Mexco Energy Corporation (the “Registrant”) issued a news release to announce its financial results for the six months ended September 30, 2025.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 12, 2025, Mexco Energy Corporation (the “Registrant”) issued a news release to announce its financial results for the three months ended June 30, 2025.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On June 27, 2025, Mexco Energy Corporation (the “Registrant”) issued a news release to announce its financial results for the year ended March 31, 2025.