Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)
NYSEConsumer StaplesAgricultural Farm ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-15
$1.22-4.69%
Close 2026-09-15 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesAgricultural Farm ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-15
Research Workspace
Put LOCL beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Reach positive adjusted EBITDA: metric not reported.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 18% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 72% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskLOCL's growth hinges on achieving positive adjusted EBITDA, which is currently unreported. Revenue grew 14% year over year, but the last quarter missed forecasts. It trades at 0.7× price-to-sales versus a 0.9× peer median, indicating modest expectations priced in. The risk lies in a 59% probability of missing outlooks, which could further pressure the stock. Peer multiples imply a price about 17% above where it trades. Our read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-15. LOCL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Continue this research
Compare LOCL with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOCL Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-15. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Agricultural Products & Services — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put LOCL next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Achieve positive adjusted EBITDA
Revenue growth supports achieving positive adjusted EBITDA.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-15. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Advances: Achieve positive adjusted EBITDA in early 2026
Pilot program supports path to positive adjusted EBITDA.
Threatens: Achieve positive adjusted EBITDA in early 2026
Revenue miss raises concerns about achieving positive EBITDA.
