Reading AQB? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track AQB free→Reading AQB? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track AQB free→NASDAQConsumer StaplesFarm ProductsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed, and it trades below typical for sector peers. Peer multiples imply a price about 151% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is rich, as it trades above peer multiples, and the longer horizon does not make that back through growth. Key factors to watch include the performance of sector bellwethers like ADM, BG, and TSN, as their earnings guidance could impact AQB's momentum. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $1.01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $1.01 AQB trades at 2× p/s — 2.5× the 1× p/s peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $0.41 fair value is low-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 151% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 4%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated neutral grew net income 52% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=1526).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.37x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates.
13 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated volatile grew net income 42% of the time over the next year (vs 51% for the rest of the cohort, n=368).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLP
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$227.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$778.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $7,263.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
No named catalysts to watch right now. Check back after the next earnings report.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for AQB yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Changes in Control of Registrant. The information set forth under
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
AQB AQUA BOUNTY TECHNOLOGIES INC | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 0 of 100 | expensive | high |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Allocate capital by issuing Series A Convertible Preferred Stock to manage financial obligations.
Exchange senior notes for Series A Convertible Preferred Stock to manage debt.
Manage changes in control to ensure stability and continuity in operations.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On April 7, 2026, AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into securities exchange agreements (the “Exchange Agreements”) with certain holders of the Company’s outstanding senior notes, pursuant to which an aggregate of $4,000,000 of principal amount plus $315,616.44 of accrued and unpaid interest was exchanged for an aggregate of 236,367 shares of the Company’s Series A Convertible Preferred Stock, par value $0.01 per share (the “Seri…
Material Modification to Rights of Security Holders. As previously reported in the Original Report, on April 7, 2026, the Company filed a Certificate of Designations of Series A Convertible Preferred Stock (the “Certificate of Designations”) with the Secretary of State of the State of Delaware. On April 16, 2026, the Company filed a Certificate of Correction to the Certificate of Designations (the “Certificate of Correction”) with the Secretary of State of the State of Delaware pursuant to Se…
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. The shares of Series A Preferred Stock pursuant to the Exchange Agreement and the Purchase Agreement described in
Material Modifications to Rights of Security Holders. In connection with the transactions described in Item 1.01, on April 7, 2026, the Company filed the Certificate of Designations with the Secretary of State of the State of Delaware, establishing the rights, preferences and privileges of the Series A Preferred Stock. The following is a summary of the material terms of the Series A Preferred Stock: Ranking. The Series A Preferred Stock ranks senior to the Company’s common stock and all other…