Reading LMNR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track LMNR free→Reading LMNR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track LMNR free→NASDAQConsumer StaplesFarm ProductsSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Peer multiples imply a price about 138% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is rich. Key factors to watch include whether LMNR cuts guidance after recently raising it, which could damage credibility, and the performance of sector bellwethers like ADM, BG, and TSN, which could influence LMNR's momentum. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $13.14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $13 LMNR trades at 2× p/s — 2.3× the 1× p/s peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $5.76 fair value is low-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 128% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about -23%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated weak grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=1144).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.45x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.17 → $0.20 (+20.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 67% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 49.4% above current price.
0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$93.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$274.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $2,760.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Retail sales data affects what customers want. Strong sales can improve Limoneira's revenue outlook.
Confirms one read:Retail sales increase by more than 0.5% month over month.
Confirms the other:Retail sales decrease or grow less than 0.2% month over month.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for LMNR yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On June 9, 2026, Limoneira Company (NASDAQ: LMNR) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended April 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished within this report as Exhibit 99.1.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Agricultural Products & Services.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
LMNR Limoneira Co. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 8 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
ADM Archer Daniels Midland | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 81 of 100 | full | moderate |
BG Bunge Global | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 98 of 100 | fair | moderate |
DAR Darling Ingredients | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 57 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
INGR Ingredion | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 63 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
15 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated volatile grew net income 42% of the time over the next year (vs 51% for the rest of the cohort, n=368).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLP
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
The company has increased its avocado volume guidance for fiscal year 2026.
The company continues to maintain a dividend of $0.075 per share.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows the company is doing well. It gives investors confidence in cash flow.
Confirms:Management states the dividend per share will stay the same next quarter.
Disproves:Management announces a cut in the dividend per share.
Why it matters: An increase in avocado volume guidance shows Limoneira can grow. This is important for future money.
Confirms:Management says avocado volume will go up by at least 10%.
Disproves:No increase in avocado volume guidance or a decrease in guidance.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement Limoneira Company, a Delaware corporation (the “ Company ”), and California Wood Recycling, Inc., a California corporation dba Agromin (“ Agromin ”), formed a special purpose entity, Agromin-Limoneira LLC, a California limited liability company (“ NewCo ”), for the purpose of facilitating a joint venture between the Company and Agromin for the design, construction and operation of an organics recycling facility on certain land owned by the Company in…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On April 14, 2026, Windfall Investors, LLC, a California limited liability company and subsidiary of Limoneira Company (the “ Company ”) entered into a Purchase and Sale Agreement (the “ Purchase Agreement ”) with Peak Holdings, LLC, a California limited liability company (the “ Buyer ”) pursuant to which the Company will sell to the Buyer an eighty-percent (80%) undivided tenant-in-common interest in the Company’s real estate parcels located in Paso…
Material Impairments As a result of the transactions contemplated by the Purchase Agreement, we determined on April 14, 2026 that we will recognize an impairment of property, plant and equipment to be recorded in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, which is currently estimated to be approximately $9,300,000.
Other Events On April 15, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing the formation of NewCo in furtherance of the joint venture and the construction of the Facility. The foregoing description of the press release is qualified entirely by reference to the complete text of the press release furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and incorporated herein by reference.