Reading HYMC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
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NASDAQMaterialsGoldSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, indicating challenges in the current environment. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $26.57. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Not enough valuation methods to set a 12-month read yet.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Materials names rated weak grew net income 51% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=1088).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.35x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
12 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Materials names rated volatile grew net income 61% of the time over the next year (vs 51% for the rest of the cohort, n=235).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.00 → $-0.18. 1 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 0% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$484.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$1,017.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,877.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if the company is improving or still struggling.
Confirms one read:Earnings report shows revenue growth turning positive year over year.
Confirms the other:Earnings report shows continued revenue decline year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for HYMC yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On June 8, 2026, Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (the “Company”) entered into an Employment Agreement, dated June 8, 2026, with Eric B. Colby, the Company’s Executive Vice President, Corporate Development and Investor Relations (the “Agreement”). Mr. Colby joined the Company in April 2026. He is an accomplished senior mining executive who brings…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
No score history yet for this stock.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Gold.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
HYMC Hycroft Mining Holding Corp | — | — | high |
NEM Newmont | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 93 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 38 of 100 | fair | high |
RGLD Royal Gold | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 65 of 100 | full | moderate |
AGI Alamos Gold Inc | — | — | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLB
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Why it matters: A shift in sector growth can impact Hycroft's performance and outlook.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth shows a positive change after being near -1 percent.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth is still negative. This shows that the sector is still shrinking.
Why it matters: The new president's plan can change the company's path. It can also affect investor trust.
Confirms:The new president made a public announcement. It shared a clear plan for the future.
Disproves:There was no announcement from the new president. The statements about future plans were unclear.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Appointment of Executive Chairman On May 7, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (the “Company”) appointed Diane R. Garrett as Executive Chairman of the Board. Ms. Garrett is the Company’s current Chief Executive Officer. Appointment of Lead Independent Director On May, 7, 2026, Thomas S. Weng, the Compan…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 28, 2026, Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release providing information about its operating and financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished with this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. The information included in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Appointment of Executive Vice President, Corporate Development On April 13, 2026, Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (the “Company”) appointed Eric Colby to the position of Executive Vice President, Corporate Development. Mr. Colby’s employment will begin on April 16, 2026. Mr. Colby is an accomplished senior mining executive who brings a combinati…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 3, 2026, Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its 2025 full year results and the filing of its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished with this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. The information included in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Se…