Gates Corporation (GTES)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-10-29
$23.83-9.22%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put GTES beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS between $1.52 and $1.68 in fiscal 2026: Diluted EPS: $0.67 per share.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 4% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 1% on a typical day and fell roughly 25% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskGTES’s earnings yield sits above its sector, while revenue growth has slowed across recent quarters. The growth case rests on raised guidance and the Timken belts acquisition. Revenue grew 5.6% year over year in Third-Quarter 2026, when adjusted EPS beat consensus. GTES trades at 15× P/E versus a 25× peer median and its 17× historical multiple. Expectations look modest versus our view, despite the elevated risk label. The primary pillar is under pressure: fiscal 2026 diluted EPS was $0.67 against a $1.52-$1.68 range. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 23%. Peer multiples imply a price about 17% above where it trades; the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. GTES is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 12 analysts currently covering GTES (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 4 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for GTES in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTES Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put GTES next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Raise 2026 guidance for sales, profitability, and EPS
Management’s 2026 EPS outlook and Q4 core-growth target support raised guidance and growth objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $23.83
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $23.83.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Acquisition enhances growth potential and aligns with sales objectives.
Threatens: Maintain revenue guidance for 2026
Earnings miss and flat revenue could affect revenue guidance.
Threatens: Maintain EPS guidance for 2026
Recalibrating expectations may impact EPS guidance.