Reading GREE? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track GREE free→Reading GREE? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track GREE free→NASDAQFinancialsCapital MarketsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality is fragile, and management's track record is volatile. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 84% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This trades below peer multiples, but recent financials are weak or earnings quality is fragile, historically a value-trap pattern. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $1.56. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $1.56 GREE trades at 0× p/s, below its 2× p/s peer median. Our $9.74 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 84% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 4%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Financials names rated weak grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=3730).
Over the trailing year it converted -3.30x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Financials names rated fragile grew net income 49% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=3541).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLF
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$313.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$1,014.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,422.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
No named catalysts to watch right now. Check back after the next earnings report.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for GREE yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. The information provided below in
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
GREE GREENIDGE GENERATION HOLDINGS INC | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 39 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
21 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Financials names rated volatile grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=3774).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
The company has entered into a material definitive agreement as part of its M&A activities.
The company engaged in unregistered sales of equity securities to manage its capital allocation.
The company commenced an exchange offer for its outstanding 8.50% Senior Notes due 2026.
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. On May 29 and June 1, 2026, Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc. (the “Company”) entered into separate privately negotiated exchange agreements (collectively, the “Exchange Agreements”), under which it issued an aggregate of 1,162,221 shares of the Company’s Class A Common Stock, par value $0.0001 per share (the “Common Stock”), in exchange for $2,089,400 aggregate principal amount of its 8.50% Senior Notes due October 2026. Pursuant to Section 3(a)(9) o…
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. On April 23, 2026, Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc. (the “Company”) notified The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (“Nasdaq”) that, following the resignation of Kenneth Fearn from the Company’s Board of Directors (the “Board”) and the audit committee of the Board (the “Audit Committee”), effective as of April 15, 2026, the Company is no longer in compliance with Nasdaq Listing Rule 5605(c)(2)(A), whic…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 15, 2026, each of Kenneth Fearn and Christopher Krug notified Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc. (the “Company”) of his resignation as a member of the Company’s Board of Directors (the “Board”), effective as of April 15, 2026 (the “Resignation Effective Date”). Mr. Fearn served as a member of the Board’s Audit Committee, and Mr. Krug serve…
Other Events. On April 9, 2026, Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release regarding the Company’s exchange offer for its outstanding 8.50% Senior Notes due 2026 commenced on March 11, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements This report, including Exhibit 99.1 furnished herewith, includes certain statements that may constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meani…