Evolution Petroleum Corp. (EPM)
AMEXEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-14
AMEXEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-14
Research Workspace
Put EPM beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Enhance cash flow from operations: OCF $7.8M (2026-Q1) vs $3.5M target; 2026-Q2/Q3 not reported.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 3% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 1% on a typical day and fell roughly 38% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskEPM's growth depends on increasing revenue from its Permian Basin acquisition. The company aims to enhance cash flow through this expansion. Revenue growth is crucial to justify its current valuation. The latest quarter showed a miss of 8%. EPM trades at 1.5× price-to-sales, below the peer median of 1.9×. This suggests the price reflects modest growth expectations. A key risk is the potential dilution from the recent stock offering. The thesis has broken due to concerns about cash flow from operations. Peer multiples imply a price about 6% below where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-14. EPM is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 4 analysts currently covering EPM (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare EPM with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPM Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Oil & Gas Exploration & Production — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put EPM next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase revenue through Louisiana royalty acquisitions
Acquisition aligns with growth objective in Louisiana.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-14. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.

Threatens: Maintain $0.12 per share dividend
Dilution may impact dividend sustainability.

Advances: Increase revenue through Louisiana royalty acquisitions
Discusses growth strategy aligns with revenue increase objective.
Threatens: Maintain $0.12 per share dividend
Downgrade indicates potential risk to maintaining dividend.