Reading DAIO? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track DAIO free→Reading DAIO? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track DAIO free→
NASDAQInformation TechnologyElectronic ComponentsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent changes. Risk is high, and compared with sector peers, it is below typical. The sector backdrop is a tailwind, which may help. Peer multiples imply a price about 48% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This trades below peer multiples, but recent financials are weak. If DAIO cuts guidance on the next call, that could be a meaningful negative. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $3.88. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $3.88 DAIO trades at 2× p/s, below its 4× p/s peer median. Our $7.28 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 47% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -9%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 0 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated weak grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.57x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates.
9 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated volatile grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=793).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.14 → $-0.14 (+0.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$194.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$459.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,800.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth would signal a weakening position in a growing sector. It could indicate deeper issues.
Confirms:Revenue growth falls below the median for the sector.
Disproves:Revenue growth remains above the median for the sector.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
Threatens: Address earnings miss issues
Earnings miss indicates ongoing issues with performance.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
and Exhibit 99.0 attached hereto is being furnished and shall not be deemed filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liability of that section, and shall not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document filed under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Electronic Components.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
DAIO Data I/O Corp | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 10 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
APH Amphenol | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 66 of 100 | full | moderate |
GLW Corning Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 46 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
COHR Coherent Corp. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 34 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
LFUS Littelfuse | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 98 of 100 | full | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management aims to deliver revenue growth in 2026, ahead of schedule.
Guidance for Q2 2026 indicates a minimum of 20% sequential revenue growth.
Management needs to address the recurring earnings misses reported in recent quarters.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if the company can improve its loss-making status. Investors will look for signs of recovery.
Confirms one read:The earnings report shows smaller losses. It may also show a return to making money.
Confirms the other:The earnings report shows bigger losses. There is no improvement in financial numbers.
Threatens: Address earnings miss issues
Earnings call reveals strategic shifts amid earnings miss.
Threatens: Address earnings miss issues
Earnings miss raises concerns about future performance.
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. As previously disclosed by Data I/O Corporation (the “Company”) on the press release attached as Exhibit 99.2 to
on the Current Report on Form 8-K filed on May 15, 2026, the Company entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement (the “Securities Purchase Agreement”) with Lytton-Kambara Foundation and Alice W. Lytton Family LLC (the “Investors”) for the sale and issuance to the Investors of securities consisting of the following: 869,840 shares of Common Stock (the “Shares”), convertible debentures in the principal amount of $6,825,400.00 (the “Note”) and warrants to purchase an aggregate of 1,080,000 shar…
Results of Operation and Financial Condition A press release announcing fourth quarter 2025 results was made February 26, 2026 and a copy of the release is being furnished as Exhibit 99.0 in this current report.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers’ Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers On March 5, 2026, Douglas Brown informed Data I/O Corporation (the “Company”) that he will not stand for re-election to the Board of Directors at the Corporation’s Annual Meeting of Shareholders and will serve as a director until the expiration of his current term at that meeting. Mr. Brown’s decision not to stand for re-election is not the result o…