Reading CPSH? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CPSH free→Reading CPSH? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CPSH free→NASDAQInformation TechnologyElectronic ComponentsSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality is robust, cash backs up reported profits. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, while risk is elevated. The sector backdrop is a tailwind, but compared with sector peers, CPSH trades below typical levels. Peer multiples imply a price about 104% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is rich, as it trades above peer multiples, and the longer horizon does not make that back through growth. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $7.21. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $7.21 CPSH trades at 4× p/s, below its 4× p/s peer median. Our $4.35 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 66% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 34%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Flags: expensive valuation, a turbulent sector regime (Heating).
For similar setups historically (n=2,301): about 43% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 77% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 68% for the rest of the cohort, n=3704).
Over the trailing year it converted 40.00x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Information Technology names rated robust grew net income 69% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=2129).
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
4 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1040).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.01 → $0.00 (-100.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$404.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$884.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $4,561.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
risk label changed from 'high' to 'elevated'.
Risk changed. Risk rose to elevated. The sector backdrop remains a tailwind. Valuation is expensive, trading above peer multiples.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth signals a slowdown in the sector. This could impact CPSH's performance.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth falls below its median growth rate.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains above its median growth rate.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for CPSH yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On May 27, 2026, CPS Technologies Corp. (the “Company”) entered into securities purchase agreements (the “Purchase Agreements”) with certain institutional investors (the “Investors”) for the sale by the Company of 1,200,000 shares (the “Shares”) of its Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share (“Common Stock”), in a registered direct offering (the “Offering”), at a purchase price of $8.00 per share. The Offering was priced at-the-market under Nasdaq r…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Electronic Components.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CPSH CPS Technologies Corp | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 17 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
APH Amphenol | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 67 of 100 | full | moderate |
GLW Corning Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 41 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
COHR Coherent Corp. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 33 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
LFUS Littelfuse | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 99 of 100 | full | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management aims for continued revenue growth in future quarters.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue decreased from $8.2M in 2025-Q4 to $7.0M in 2026-Q1, indicating limited progress towards the stated goal of continued revenue growth.
“continued revenue growth is expected in future quarters.”
“Overall, we’re in great shape for another year of strong revenue...”
“we remain on track for 2025 to be our best sales year ever”
Management is focused on achieving continued margin expansion.
Newly stated in 2025-Q4. Gross profit decreased from $1.2M in 2025-Q4 to $0.6M in 2026-Q1, showing a decline rather than the expected margin expansion.
“Overall, we’re in great shape for another year of strong revenue, continued margin expansion...”
The company is undergoing a CFO transition with Christopher S. Fraser appointed.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The CFO transition is underway with Christopher S. Fraser appointed as the new CFO, succeeding Charles K. Griffith Jr. This transition may impact financial strategy and execution.
“CPS Technologies announced the appointment of Christopher S. Fraser as CFO.”
“Charles K. Griffith, Jr., the CFO, informed the Board of his retirement.”
Appointment of Certain Officers On May 4, 2026, CPS Technologies Corp. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing the appointment of Christopher S. Fraser as its Chief Financial Officer. He will assume his responsibilities on May 18, 2026 from Charles K. Griffith Jr., who will be retiring at the end of May. Mr. Fraser, age 63, most recently served as Controller within Precision Castparts Corp. from March 2025 to May 2026, a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway, where he led financial opera…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On May 4, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing its financial results for the three months ended March 28, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99 and is incorporated herein in its entirety by reference. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (The “Exchange Act”) or oth…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On March 2, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing its financial results for the three months ended December 27, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99 and is incorporated herein in its entirety by reference. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (The “Exchange Act”) o…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On December 11, 2025, Charles K. Griffith, Jr., the Chief Financial Officer of CPS Technologies Corp. (the “Company”) as well as the Company’s corporate secretary, informed the Company’s Board of Directors that he intends to retire from his positions with the Company in 2026. Although the date of Mr. Griffith’s retirement is not yet certain, Mr. Gr…