Reading COLD? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track COLD free→Reading COLD? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track COLD free→NYSEReal EstateReit - IndustrialSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality is not assessable since the company is unprofitable. Management's recent track record has been unsteady. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 72% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This pattern suggests potential issues due to weak financials and fragile earnings quality. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $14.63. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $15 COLD trades at 2× p/s, below its 6× p/s peer median. Our $31 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Analysts: $12–$17. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 72% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -3%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Real Estate names rated weak grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=1506).
Over the trailing year it converted -3.28x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.07 → $0.03 (-57.1% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 29% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 8.3% above current price.
0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$199.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$387.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,982.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if the company can improve its loss-making status.
Confirms:The earnings report shows smaller losses or a return to making money.
Disproves:The earnings report shows larger losses. There is no improvement in finances.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for COLD yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On May 18, 2026, Americold Realty Operating Partnership, L.P., a subsidiary of Americold Realty Trust, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into the Fourth Amendment (the “Fourth Amendment”) to that certain Credit Agreement, dated as of August 23, 2022 (as amended, restated, extended, supplemented or otherwise modified in writing from time to time, the “Credit Agreement”), with Bank of America, N.A., as administrative agent and certain lenders and letter of…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
$12.00 – $17.00 (median $15.00) · 7 analysts · as of 2026-05-26
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Industrial REITs.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
COLD Americold Realty Trust Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 11 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
PLD Prologis | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 50 of 100 | expensive | low |
EGP EastGroup Properties | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 63 of 100 | expensive | low |
LINE Lineage Inc | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 36 of 100 | full | moderate |
CUBE CubeSmart | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 74 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
12 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Real Estate names rated volatile grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=3774).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLRE
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on expanding strategic partnerships to enhance market position.
Maintain disciplined capital expenditure with a target of $60M-$70M for 2026.
Target revenue growth in the warehouse segment with a range of $2.20B - $2.27B for 2026.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a positive shift for Americold.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth speeds up again, above 5% year over year.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth keeps slowing down, below 5% year over year.
of the Original 8-K and the description of the Contribution Agreement and the JV Transaction in the Original 8-K is qualified in its entirety by reference to the full text of the Contribution Agreement. Other than as expressly set forth herein, the Original 8-K remains unchanged. Forward-Looking Statements This Amendment contains statements about future events and expectations that constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based on our beliefs, assumptions and expe…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On May 7, 2026, Americold Realty Operating Partnership, LP, a Delaware limited partnership, MHG Gateway Properties, LLC, a New Jersey limited liability company, ART Mortgage Borrower Propco 2010 - 5 LLC, a Delaware limited liability company, Americold New TRS Sub 1, LLC, a Delaware limited liability company, Americold Real Estate, L.P., a Delaware limited partnership, ART Mortgage Borrower Propco 2010 - 4 LLC, a Delaware limited liability company, N…
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information included in
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 7, 2026, Americold Realty Trust, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the Company’s financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release as well as a copy of the supplemental information referred to in the press release are available on the Company’s website and are attached hereto as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 and incorporated herein by reference. The foregoing information is furnished pu…