Cipher Digital, Inc. (CIFR)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-10-30
$7.29-10.00%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put CIFR beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
IT Consulting & Other Services is in recovery. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Cash from operations improves to positive levels: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 20% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 16%, softest on free-cash-flow margins.
View QualityManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 6% on a typical day and fell roughly 75% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskCIFR’s case rests on expanding AI data center leases with hyperscale tenants. Revenue growth cannot be judged from the available earnings history. Its latest Q2 FY2026 result missed GAAP EPS consensus. CIFR trades at 16× sales versus a 1× peer median. The price is roughly in line with the growth we forecast. Barber Lake expansion adds debt and planned share dilution, with construction delays a stated risk. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 50%. Peer multiples imply a price about 76% above where it trades; the thesis is on watch, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. CIFR is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 22 analysts currently covering CIFR (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 5 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for CIFR in the last 4 months.
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Compare CIFR with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIFR Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus IT Consulting & Other Services — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put CIFR next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Strengthen liquidity and capital structure with credit facilities and debt offe…
Strengthens liquidity and capital structure with new funding.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $7.29
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $7.29.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Threatens: Strengthen liquidity and capital structure with credit facilities and debt offe…
Debt offering raises concerns about liquidity.
Advances: Secure and expand AI data center leases with hyperscale tenants
Lease extension boosts contracted revenue significantly.
Advances: Secure and expand AI data center leases with hyperscale tenants
20-year lease extension secures long-term growth.
Advances: Secure and expand AI data center leases with hyperscale tenants
Lease extension positively impacts revenue outlook.
Advances: Secure and expand AI data center leases with hyperscale tenants
AI infrastructure breakthrough supports lease expansion with hyperscale tenants.
Advances: Execute data center development projects on schedule
Conditional ERCOT status enhances growth potential.
Threatens: Execute data center development projects on schedule
Shutting down revenue sources undermines growth objectives.
