Reading AREC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
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NASDAQMaterialsCoking CoalSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed, and risk is high. The sector backdrop is a headwind, and compared with sector peers, it is below typical. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $2.20. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Not enough valuation methods to set a 12-month read yet.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Materials names rated weak grew net income 51% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=1088).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.57x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to Fed net liquidity.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates.
8 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by legal/regulatory items. Historically, Materials names rated volatile grew net income 61% of the time over the next year (vs 51% for the rest of the cohort, n=235).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.00 → $-0.13. 0 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$364.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$1,197.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $7,151.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If revenue growth improves, it may show a recovery in the materials sector. This could help American Resources Corp.
Confirms:Revenue growth in the materials sector turns positive after being near -1 percent.
Disproves:Revenue growth is still negative. This shows the sector is still shrinking.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for AREC yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard On April 24, 2026, American Resources Corporation (the “Company”) received a letter from The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (“Nasdaq”) notifying the Company that it is not in compliance with Nasdaq Listing Rule 5250(c)(1) due to the Company’s failure to timely file its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025 (the “Form 10-K”). The notification has no immediate effect on the listing or tradin…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Coal & Consumable Fuels.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
AREC American Resources Corp | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 7 of 100 | — | high |
UEC Uranium Energy Corp. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 2 of 100 | — | high |
CNR Core Natural Resources, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 71 of 100 | fair | elevated |
BTU Peabody Energy, Inc. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 24 of 100 | fair | elevated |
LEU Centrus Energy Corp. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 17 of 100 | expensive | high |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLB
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Effective April 15, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of American Resources Corporation (the “Company”) appointed Mark LaVerghetta to serve as a member of the Board. Mr. LaVerghetta will serve as a director and as a member of the Board’s Nominating Committee. Mr. LaVerghetta, 52, has extensive experience in corporate strategy, capital mark…
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard On January 13, 2026, American Resources Corporation (“AREC” or the “Company”) received a letter from Nasdaq Regulation (“Nasdaq”) notifying the Company that it was not in compliance with Nasdaq Listing Rule 5620(a), which requires listed companies to hold an annual meeting of shareholders within twelve months of the end of their fiscal year. The Company did not hold an annual meeting of shareholders within twelve m…
Changes in Registrant’s Certifying Accountant (a) Dismissal of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm On November 21, 2025, the Audit Committee (the “Audit Committee”) of the Board of Directors of American Resources Corporation (or the “Company”) approved the dismissal of GBQ Partners LLC (“GBQ”) as the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm. The reports of GBQ on the Company’s consolidated financial statements for the fiscal years ended December 31, 2023 and December…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Securities Purchase Agreements On October 15, 2025, American Resources Corporation, a Florida corporation (the “Company”) entered into securities purchase agreements (the “Securities Purchase Agreements”) with certain investors (the “Purchasers”) pursuant to which the Company agreed to sell and issue to the Purchasers in a private placement offering (the “Offering”) an aggregate of (1) 2,661,764 shares (the “Shares”) of common stock, par value $0.00…