The Brief turns the Report and Portfolio Manager into a short weekly review. This fixed five-stock book shows the same sections members receive.
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The Fed's setting looks steady right now, while Treasury yields still point to somewhat tighter borrowing costs than a month ago.
Microsoft reported a non-GAAP EPS of $4.74, beating the consensus EPS of $4.21, driven by strong cloud revenue growth of 27% year-over-year. The company returned $10.2 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in the fourth quarter.
Growth cooled from the prior quarter, but the last three quarters together still show a modest pace that is a bit below the current reading.
Monthly core inflation eased, but the three-month pace still points to underlying inflation running above the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target.
The job market signal looks steady right now: new claims are drifting lower, but ongoing claims are flat.
We checked all 5 stocks you track this week: 1 needs attention, 4 are quiet.
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Stocks rose on Friday. The S&P 500 gained 0.7%. The biggest moves came from consumer spending companies (+3.3%, an unusually big move), materials companies (-2.4%), media and telecom (+1.5%). 4 of 11 industry groups closed higher.
It has been an unsettled stretch: markets fell hard in 1 of the last 6 sessions (the worst day was -1.5%) and daily swings averaged 0.7%, vs a typical 0.6%.
Worst today: Health Care · 60d leader: Health Care +8.9%
Rates are high enough to slow the economy. Lately this reading has been rising. Where interest rates head next matters a lot for stocks, especially the ones that are sensitive to interest rates.
Prices are rising faster than the Fed wants. Lately this reading has been easing. Faster price gains make it harder for the Federal Reserve to lower rates, which markets watch closely.
The economy is growing at a modest pace. Lately this reading has been rising. Growth sets the stage for company earnings.
The job market is steady. Lately this reading has been easing. A hot job market can keep interest rates higher for longer, which markets watch closely.
No recession warning signs right now. Lately this reading has been easing. These signs are watched because they sometimes come before a recession.
Key reports due this week: weekly jobless claims on Thursday, the jobs report on Friday.
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.