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Snapshot of the latest US PCE inflation print, goods vs services, and near-term policy-relevant momentum.
Period: 2025-12 · Source: BEA – PCE · Frequency: Monthly
Primary trend view for core PCE and its goods vs services breakdown.
Year-over-year core PCE inflation (ex food & energy). Persistent readings above ~2% signal underlying price pressure; sustained declines suggest easing inflation momentum.
Year-over-year goods inflation. More cyclical and supply-sensitive; sharp moves often reflect commodity swings or demand shifts.
Year-over-year services inflation. Typically stickier than goods; persistent strength is closely watched by the Fed.
Latest component inflation rates using seasonally adjusted YoY and MoM values from mart.
| Component | YoY (SA) | MoM (SA) |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 2.20% | 0.25% |
| Food | 2.13% | 0.41% |
| Goods | 1.74% | 0.38% |
| Services | 3.43% | 0.34% |
| Component | YoY (SA) | MoM (SA) |
|---|---|---|
| Core (ex Food & Energy) | 3.00% | 0.36% |
| Housing | 3.31% | 0.30% |
Forward-looking signals from the PCE consensus and model scorecard.