Here are the main forces moving the economy: how fast it's growing, how prices are changing, jobs, interest rates, and the bond market. Each card shows the latest number, how it's changed over time, and why you should care.
This table summarizes the main macro indicators we track in one place: latest values, short-term trend, risk assessment, and a compact history chart for each metric. Use it to quickly gauge whether growth, inflation, policy, labor markets, and the yield curve are getting better, worse, or moving sideways.
Click a metric's Learn more link to open its full dashboard. Subscribers can see much richer history, scenario analysis, and model outputs on those detail pages.
At a glance: growth expanding, labor healthy, inflation sticky, policy supportive, yield curve flat.
| Metric | Value Trend Chart Risk & Updated Next Update | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP QoQ SAAR | Value 1.50 % Trend Healthy Expansion Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Updated Aug 26, 2026 Next Update Sep 30, 2026 | |||
| PCE Inflation Core PCE (YoY) | Value 3.30 % Trend Sticky Chart Loading… Risk Risk: MODERATE Updated Aug 26, 2026 Next Update Sep 30, 2026 | |||
| CPI Inflation Headline CPI (YoY) | Value 3.36 % Trend Hot Chart Loading… Risk Risk: MODERATE Updated Aug 12, 2026 Next Update Sep 11, 2026 | |||
| Labor market Unemployment rate | Value 4.10 % Trend Healthy Labor Market Chart Loading… Risk Risk: MODERATE Updated Aug 7, 2026 Next Update Sep 4, 2026 | |||
| Jobless claims Initial claims, 4-wk avg | Value 205500 k Trend Healthy Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Updated Aug 27, 2026 Next Update Sep 3, 2026 | |||
| Fed funds rate Effective rate | Value 3.63 % Trend Supportive Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Updated Jul 29, 2026 Next Update Sep 16, 2026 | |||
| Yield curve 10Y-2Y spread | Value 47 bps Trend Flat Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Last Value Date Aug 27, 2026 Next Update Daily | |||