Here are the main forces moving the economy: how fast it's growing, how prices are changing, jobs, interest rates, and the bond market. Each card shows the latest number, how it's changed over time, and why you should care.
This table summarizes the main macro indicators we track in one place: latest values, short-term trend, risk assessment, and a compact history chart for each metric. Use it to quickly gauge whether growth, inflation, policy, labor markets, and the yield curve are getting better, worse, or moving sideways.
Click a metric's Learn more link to open its full dashboard. Subscribers can see much richer history, scenario analysis, and model outputs on those detail pages.
At a glance: growth softening, labor roughly balanced, inflation sticky, policy neutral, yield curve normal curve.
| Metric | Value Trend Chart Risk & Updated Next Update | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP QoQ SAAR | Value 0.5 % Trend Soft Patch Chart Loading… Risk Risk: MODERATE Updated Apr 9, 2026 Next Update Apr 30, 2026 | |||
| PCE Inflation Core PCE (YoY) | Value 3.0 % Trend Sticky Chart Loading… Risk Risk: HIGH Updated Apr 9, 2026 Next Update Apr 30, 2026 | |||
| CPI Inflation Headline CPI (YoY) | Value 3.3 % Trend Overheating Chart Loading… Risk Risk: MODERATE Updated Apr 10, 2026 Next Update May 12, 2026 | |||
| Labor market Unemployment rate | Value 4.3 % Trend Stable Chart Loading… Risk Risk: MODERATE Updated Apr 3, 2026 Next Update May 8, 2026 | |||
| Jobless claims Initial claims, 4-wk avg | Value 209750 k Trend Healthy Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Updated Apr 16, 2026 Next Update Apr 23, 2026 | |||
| Fed funds rate Effective rate | Value 3.64 % Trend Neutral Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Updated Mar 18, 2026 Next Update Apr 29, 2026 | |||
| Yield curve 10Y-2Y spread | Value 53 bps Trend Normal Curve Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Last Value Date Apr 15, 2026 Next Update Daily | |||
