Dashboard view of key macro indicators: growth, inflation, labor, policy rates, and the yield curve.
This table summarizes the main macro indicators we track in one place: latest values, short-term trend, risk assessment, and a compact history chart for each metric. Use it to quickly gauge whether growth, inflation, policy, labor markets, and the yield curve are getting better, worse, or moving sideways.
Click a metric's Deep Dive link to open its full dashboard. Subscribers can see much richer history, scenario analysis, and model outputs on those detail pages.
At a glance: growth cooling, labor roughly balanced, inflation roughly stable, policy rates holding steady.
| Metric | Value Trend Chart Risk & Updated Next Update | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Real GDP QoQ SAAR | Trend ↓Trending Down Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Updated Feb 20, 2026 Next Update Mar 13, 2026 | |||
PCE Inflation Core PCE (YoY) | Trend →Sideways Chart Loading… Risk Risk: HIGH Updated Feb 20, 2026 Next Update Mar 13, 2026 | |||
CPI Inflation Headline CPI (YoY) | Trend ↓Trending Down Chart Loading… Risk Risk: HIGH Updated Feb 13, 2026 Next Update Mar 11, 2026 | |||
Labor market Unemployment rate | Trend →Sideways Chart Loading… Risk Risk: MODERATE Updated Feb 11, 2026 Next Update Mar 6, 2026 | |||
Jobless claims Initial claims, 4-wk avg | Trend →Sideways Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Updated Feb 26, 2026 Next Update Mar 5, 2026 | |||
Fed funds rate Effective rate | Trend →Sideways Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Updated Jan 28, 2026 Next Update Mar 18, 2026 | |||
Yield curve 2s10s spread | ||||