Here are the main forces moving the economy: how fast it's growing, how prices are changing, jobs, interest rates, and the bond market. Each card shows the latest number, how it's changed over time, and why you should care.
This table summarizes the main macro indicators we track in one place: latest values, short-term trend, risk assessment, and a compact history chart for each metric. Use it to quickly gauge whether growth, inflation, policy, labor markets, and the yield curve are getting better, worse, or moving sideways.
Click a metric's Learn more link to open its full dashboard. Subscribers can see much richer history, scenario analysis, and model outputs on those detail pages.
At a glance: growth expanding, labor roughly balanced, inflation near target, policy neutral, yield curve flat.
| Metric | Value Trend Chart Risk & Updated Next Update | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP QoQ SAAR | Value 2.20 % Trend Healthy Expansion Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Updated Sep 30, 2026 Next Update Oct 29, 2026 | |||
| PCE Inflation Core PCE (YoY) | Value 3.00 % Trend Cooling Chart Loading… Risk Risk: MODERATE Updated Sep 30, 2026 Next Update Oct 29, 2026 | |||
| CPI Inflation Headline CPI (YoY) | Value 3.74 % Trend Overheating Chart Loading… Risk Risk: HIGH Updated Oct 14, 2026 Next Update Nov 10, 2026 | |||
| Labor market Unemployment rate | Value 4.20 % Trend Stable Chart Loading… Risk Risk: MODERATE Updated Oct 2, 2026 Next Update Nov 6, 2026 | |||
| Jobless claims Initial claims, 4-wk avg | Value 198500 k Trend Healthy Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Updated Oct 15, 2026 Next Update Oct 22, 2026 | |||
| Fed funds rate Effective rate | Value 3.88 % Trend Neutral Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Updated Sep 16, 2026 Next Update Oct 28, 2026 | |||
| Yield curve 10Y-2Y spread | Value 37 bps Trend Flat Chart Loading… Risk Risk: LOW Last Value Date Oct 14, 2026 Next Update Daily | |||