Snapshot of the latest US inflation print, key drivers, and near-term outlook.
Period: Headline CPI, NSA (YoY) · Source: BLS – CPI-U · Frequency: monthly
Primary trend view for headline vs core CPI. History range matches the standard CPI detail page default.
Headline CPI includes all components; core excludes food and energy. Sustained readings near 2% are broadly consistent with the Fed's inflation goal.
Short-run core inflation trends (MoM and 3- to 6-month annualized). Sustained readings near 2% suggest inflation is near target; persistently above ~3% or below ~0% can signal overheating or disinflation risk.
Forward-looking signals from the CPI consensus and model scorecard.