Reading VRME? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track VRME free→Reading VRME? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track VRME free→NASDAQIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality is not assessable since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent changes. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, the company is below typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 73% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This pattern occurs because it trades below peer multiples, but recent financials are weak. If sector bellwethers like ALLE, MSA, and BCO keep beating earnings, it could help VRME.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $0.69. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $0.69 VRME trades at 1× p/s, below its 2× p/s peer median. Our $2.32 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 70% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -33%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=3678).
Over the trailing year it converted -0.06x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
10 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Industrials names rated volatile grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=840).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.01 → $-0.01 (+0.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$220.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$842.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,799.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Signal changed from 'None' to 'mixed'.
As of June 15, 2026, the signal changed to mixed, indicating a shift in the overall assessment. The status of the data is no longer provisional, as all expected sub-scores are now present.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
No named catalysts to watch right now. Check back after the next earnings report.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for VRME yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On June 4, 2026, the Parties entered into the Second Amendment (the “Amendment”) to the Merger Agreement, pursuant to which the definition of Fully Diluted Company Shares was revised to include the aggregate number of Open World ordinary shares issuable in connection with any existing agreement to issue Equity Interests (as such term is defined in the Merger Agreement) of Open World. The foregoing description of the Amendment does not purport to be…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
VRME VERIFYME INC | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 28 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Continue the merger process with Open World, including amendments to the agreement.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. The company has consistently pursued the merger with Open World, evidenced by multiple amendments to the agreement. Despite this focus, financials show a decline in revenue from $5,033,000 in 2025-Q3 to $1,772,000 in 2026-Q1, indicating limited progress in financial performance during this period.
“On June 4, 2026, the Parties entered into the Second Amendment to the Merger Agreement.”
“On April 15, 2026, the Parties entered into the First Amendment to the Merger Agreement.”
“On February 11, 2026, VerifyMe, Inc. entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger with Open World.”
Work towards meeting Nasdaq's minimum bid price requirement to maintain listing.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company has been notified twice about non-compliance with Nasdaq's listing requirements. Despite this focus, financials show a net income loss of $679,000 in 2026-Q1, indicating ongoing financial challenges that may impact compliance efforts.
“On April 17, 2026, the Company received a letter from Nasdaq indicating non-compliance.”
Focus on enhancing cash flow from operating activities to stabilize financials.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Cash from operating activities declined from $243,000 in 2025-Q3 to negative $711,000 in 2026-Q1, showing a significant deterioration. This indicates limited progress in improving operational cash flow, despite management's focus.
“Cash from operating activities was negative $711,000.”
“Cash from operating activities was $54,000.”
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 15, 2026, VerifyMe, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release to report financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. The Company’s press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise s…
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. On April 17, 2026, VerifyMe, Inc. (the “Company”) received a letter from the Listing Qualifications Staff of The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (“Nasdaq”) indicating that, based upon the closing bid price of the Company’s common stock for the last 30 consecutive business days, the Company no longer meets Nasdaq Listing Rule 5550(a)(2), which requires listed companies to maintain a minimum bid price o…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On April 15, 2026, the Parties entered into the First Amendment (the “Amendment”) to the Merger Agreement effective as of April 13, 2026, pursuant to which the outside date was extended from June 30, 2026 to August 31, 2026. The foregoing description of the Amendment does not purport to be complete and is subject to, and is qualified in its entirety by reference to, the full text of the Amendment, a copy of which is attached as Exhibit 2.1 to this C…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 30, 2026, VerifyMe, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release to report financial results for the year and quarter ended December 31, 2025. The Company’s press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”),…
“On December 12, 2025, the Company received a letter from Nasdaq indicating non-compliance.”
“Cash from operating activities was $243,000.”