NL Industries, Inc. (NL)
NYSEIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-15
$7.01-0.14%
Close 2026-09-15 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-15
Research Workspace
Put NL beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Industrials is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 6% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 36% growth a year, above the roughly 4% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 1% on a typical day and fell roughly 33% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskNL's growth depends on maintaining strong performance in a challenging industrial sector. Revenue grew 8% year over year, but the latest earnings surprise was a miss of 12%. It trades at 2.1× price-to-sales, above the 1.6× peer median, indicating the market expects more growth than forecasted. The risk lies in management's failure to meet commitments, with a 68% probability of missing outlooks. Peer multiples imply a price about 34% below where it trades. This read is provisional; the thesis is on watch.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-15. NL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
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Compare NL with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NL Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-15. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Security & Alarm Services — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put NL next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-15. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.