Reading KSCP? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track KSCP free→Reading KSCP? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track KSCP free→NASDAQIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, and the capital stance is capital-friendly. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with KSCP trading below typical for sector peers. Peer multiples imply a price about 60% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk, as it trades below peer multiples while recent financials are weak. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $2.04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $2.04 KSCP trades at 2× p/s, in line with its 2× p/s peer median. Our $1.96 fair value reflects that, medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 4% near-term growth, below our forecast of about 40%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=3678).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.96x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
8 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=1113).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.48 → $-0.56 (-14.4% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$306.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$890.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $8,028.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Management fell by 14.1 points (from 23.7 to 9.6).
Valuation changed. It rose to inexpensive. Risk fell. The sector backdrop remained a headwind. Recent financial performance was weak. Earnings quality is loss-making.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector shows renewed growth, it may benefit Knightscope. This could improve its market position.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth reported above 5% in the next quarter.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains below 3% in the next quarter.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for KSCP yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
No upside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
No downside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Amended and restated employment agreements were entered into with senior executives.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Industrials (broad).
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
KSCP Knightscope Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 13 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 50 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
GE GE Aerospace | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 69 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
GEV GE Vernova | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 61 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
RTX RTX Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 69 of 100 | fair | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management aims to reach $35 million in revenue with a 20% gross margin by the end of the fiscal year.
Why it matters: Hitting this revenue target shows Knightscope is on track for growth. It confirms management's plans for profitability.
Confirms:Q2 revenue reported at or above $35M.
Disproves:Q2 revenue reported below $30M.
Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets On February 27, 2026 (the “Closing Date”), Knightscope, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company” or “Knightscope”), entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement (the “Purchase Agreement”) with Event Risk LLC, an Indiana limited liability company (“Event Risk”), and Eric Rose (the “Seller”), pursuant to which Knightscope acquired all of the issued and outstanding membership interests of Event Risk (collectively, the “Transaction”). The…
Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets On February 27, 2026, Knightscope completed the acquisition of Event Risk pursuant to the Purchase Agreement. Event Risk is now a wholly owned subsidiary of Knightscope. Strategic Rationale Knightscope believes this acquisition accelerates its long-term strategy to operate a fully integrated autonomous security platform combining hardware, software, and human response into a single managed system. Additionally, the acquisition expands Knights…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On February 27, 2026 (the “Closing Date”), Knightscope, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company” or “Knightscope”), entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement (the “Purchase Agreement”) with Event Risk LLC, an Indiana limited liability company (“Event Risk”), and Eric Rose (the “Seller”), pursuant to which Knightscope acquired all of the issued and outstanding membership interests of Event Risk (the “Acquired Interests”). Purchase Consideration…
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities Pursuant to the Purchase Agreement, Knightscope issued shares of its Class A Common Stock to the Seller as Equity Consideration. Such shares were issued in reliance upon exemptions from registration under Section 4(a)(2) of the Securities Act of 1933 and/or Regulation D promulgated thereunder. Additional shares may be issued pursuant to the Equity Revenue Share provisions described above, subject to the terms and conditions of the Purchase Agreement.