Vericel (VCEL)
NASDAQHealth CareBiotechnologySnapshot 2026-09-15
$39.72+0.30%
Close 2026-09-15 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareBiotechnologySnapshot 2026-09-15
Research Workspace
Put VCEL beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Biotechnology is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Operating margin at least 27%: TTM operating margin 6.0% vs 27% target; FY26 guidance 27.0% vs <20% trip.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 23% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 190% growth a year, above the roughly 21% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskVCEL's growth relies on achieving its operating margin target of 27%. The latest guidance shows an operating margin of 6.0%, far below this target. Revenue growth has been strong, but the market is pricing in more growth than expected. VCEL trades at 6.8× price-to-sales, below the peer median of 11.7×. This suggests the valuation is unjustified given the current performance. The primary risk is the operating margin not improving, as it is significantly below the target. Peer multiples imply a price about 194% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-15. VCEL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 8 analysts currently covering VCEL (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare VCEL with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VCEL Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-15. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Biotechnology — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put VCEL next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase MACI revenue growth
20% revenue jump supports MACI growth objective.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-15. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Increase MACI revenue growth
20% revenue jump supports MACI growth objective.
Advances: Achieve high revenue and profit growth
Forecasting strong revenue growth aligns with profit objectives.
Advances: Achieve high revenue and profit growth
Raising guidance indicates strong profit growth potential.
Advances: Expand Burn Care revenue
BARDA award enhances Burn Care revenue expansion.
Advances: Achieve high revenue and profit growth
FDA approval supports high revenue and profit growth.
Advances: Increase MACI revenue growth
Sales force expansion expected to boost MACI revenue.
Threatens: Expand Burn Care revenue
Waning Burn Care revenue poses a challenge.