United Parcel Service (UPS)
NYSEIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-09-15
$102.35-0.11%
Close 2026-09-15 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-09-15
Research Workspace
Put UPS beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Industrials is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Achieve operating margin of at least 9.6%: TTM operating margin 7.3% vs 9.6% target.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 0% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskUPS's growth depends on its ability to achieve a consolidated revenue target of $91.2 billion. The latest earnings beat showed revenue growth of 6% year over year. It trades at 15× P/E versus a peer median of 23×, indicating that the price reflects less growth than forecasted. The primary risk is the operating margin, which is currently at 7.3%, below the target of 9.6%. Peer multiples imply a price about 9% above where it trades. Our read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-15. UPS is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 29 analysts currently covering UPS (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 11 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for UPS in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare UPS with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPS Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-15. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Air Freight & Logistics — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put UPS next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Achieve non-GAAP adjusted operating profit of approximately $8.65 billion in 20…
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-15. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $102.35
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $102.35.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Costs may impact operating profit objectives.
Advances: Raise full-year 2026 consolidated revenue to $91.2 billion
Supports revenue growth and international recovery initiatives.
Advances: Execute Network Reconfiguration and Efficiency Reimagined initiatives
Improved margins from reduced Amazon volumes support cost efficiency initiatives.
Advances: Execute Network Reconfiguration and Efficiency Reimagined initiatives
Improved margins support cost efficiency initiatives.
Threatens: Execute Network Reconfiguration and Efficiency Reimagined initiatives
Potential strike could disrupt efficiency initiatives and cost management.
Increased prices from rivals may pressure UPS's pricing strategy.
Advances: Execute Network Reconfiguration and Efficiency Reimagined initiatives
New model supports efficiency initiatives and cost management.
Advances: Raise full-year 2026 consolidated revenue to $91.2 billion
Expansion plans support revenue growth objective.
