FedEx (FDX)
NYSEIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-10-29
$307.82+1.06%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put FDX beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Industrials is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS between $16.55 and $17.75 in fiscal 2026: Diluted EPS: $6.60 per share.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 12% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 1% on a typical day and fell roughly 35% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskFedEx’s profitable-growth case rests on better pricing, volumes, and post-spinoff cost savings. Revenue grew 12% year over year in third-quarter 2026, and adjusted EPS beat. The stock trades at 15× earnings versus a 22× peer median. Expectations look modest versus our view, although the peer comparison is a weak guide. Fiscal 2026 diluted EPS of $6.60 is below the stated $16.55 to $17.75 pillar. The 16% next-quarter miss probability adds risk to that earnings case. Peer multiples imply a price about 11% above where it trades; the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. FDX is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 30 analysts currently covering FDX (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 6 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for FDX in the last 4 months.
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Compare FDX with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDX Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Air Freight & Logistics — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put FDX next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Drive profitable growth
Quarterly beat and analyst support for Freight growth targets reinforce profitable growth.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $307.82
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $307.82.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Drive profitable growth
Revenue growth across key verticals supports profitable growth, though profitability detail is absent.
Advances: Complete strategic portfolio transformation
EPS and free-cash-flow outlook plus portfolio reshaping support execution and transformation.
Threatens: Optimize the network and improve operating efficiency
Higher driver hiring costs pressure margins and operating-efficiency progress.
Advances: Drive profitable growth
Quarterly earnings and revenue beat estimates, supporting profitable growth.
Advances: Drive profitable growth
Raised profit outlook with better pricing and volumes indicates profitable-growth momentum.
Advances: Drive profitable growth
Higher profit guidance ahead of peak season supports profitable growth.
Advances: Drive profitable growth
Freight quarterly beat offers positive segment evidence, though shares commentary is secondary.
