Expeditors International (EXPD)
NYSEIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-10-30
$198.85+0.23%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put EXPD beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Industrials is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue growth is slowing — up about 7% over the past year and decelerating.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 38% growth a year, above the roughly 9% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskEXPD’s thesis rests on strong financial performance, with year-over-year revenue growth accelerating across recent quarters. Q2 FY2026 revenue grew 32% year over year, and reported earnings beat consensus. EXPD trades at 29× P/E versus a 23× peer median, near its 27× history. The market is pricing in more growth than our forecast. Weak execution quality could pressure the premium, and our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 18%. Peer multiples imply a price about 38% below where it trades; our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. EXPD is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 18 analysts currently covering EXPD (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 5 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for EXPD in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare EXPD with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXPD Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Air Freight & Logistics — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put EXPD next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Maintain operational profitability and efficiency
Earnings jump may not be sustainable, impacting profitability.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $198.85
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $198.85.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Manage unpredictable freight environment
New tariffs may disrupt supply chain management efforts.
Advances: Share repurchase program
Share buyback completion supports capital allocation strategy.
Advances: Manage unpredictable freight environment
Strong quarter supports operational profitability and freight management.
Advances: Manage unpredictable freight environment
Strong sales indicate effective management of freight environment.
Price target increase reflects freight strength.
Strong Q1 results indicate operational success.
Layoffs indicate potential operational challenges.