Twin Disc Inc (TWIN)
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-10-29
$23.98-5.18%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-10-29
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Put TWIN beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Deliver EPS near $1.53 in fiscal Q2 2026: Diluted EPS: $0.64 per share.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 23% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskTwin Disc depends on steady revenue growth supporting its earnings, despite a sector backdrop that is a drag. Fiscal fourth-quarter revenue grew 18.3% year over year, and diluted EPS was $0.64. TWIN trades at 11× P/E versus a 24× peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, yet the peer comparison may overstate its cheapness. The thesis has broken: fiscal Q2 2026 diluted EPS was $0.64 against a near-$1.53 pillar. The model puts next-quarter miss probability near 29%. Peer multiples imply a price about 52% above where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. TWIN is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 1 analyst currently covering TWIN (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare TWIN with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TWIN Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put TWIN next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Expand defense-related programs and facilities
Defense growth aligns with management's expansion objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Improve profitability and gross margins through operational leverage
Margin warning could hinder profitability objectives.
Advances: Focus on disciplined operations and innovation
Targets for revenue and margins align with growth objectives.
Advances: Focus on disciplined operations and innovation
Record revenue indicates strong demand and operational success.
Advances: Generate positive free cash flow
Quarterly cash dividend indicates positive cash flow generation.
Advances: Focus on disciplined operations and innovation
Record backlog and defense pipeline growth support innovation focus.