Reading RXST? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track RXST free→Reading RXST? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track RXST free→NASDAQHealth CareMedical DevicesSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent changes. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 66% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This pattern occurs because it trades below peer multiples, but recent financials are weak. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $4.68. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $4.79 RXST trades at 1× p/s, below its 3× p/s peer median. Our $16 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Analysts: $9.00–$13. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 69% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 0%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Health Care names rated weak grew net income 55% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=2391).
Over the trailing year it converted 2.28x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.17 → $-0.20 (-17.6% / 30d). 1 raised, 1 cut, 4 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 11% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$260.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$668.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $6,735.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
No named catalysts to watch right now. Check back after the next earnings report.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for RXST yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 6, 2026, RxSight, Inc. (the “ Company ” ) issued a press release announcing its results of operations and financial condition for the three months ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished in this Current Report on Form 8-K under
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
$9.00 – $13.00 (median $11.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-05-07
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Health Care Equipment.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
RXST RxSight, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 43 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
ABT Abbott Laboratories | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 93 of 100 | fair | moderate |
ISRG Intuitive Surgical | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 94 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
SYK Stryker Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 70 of 100 | fair | moderate |
MDT Medtronic | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 89 of 100 | fair | moderate |
6 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Health Care names rated volatile grew net income 43% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=600).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLV
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management aims to achieve a revenue range of $120 to $135 million for the fiscal year 2026.
The company aims to maintain a gross margin between 70% and 72% for the fiscal year 2026.
Management plans to control operating expenses within the range of $150 to $160 million for 2026.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On January 12, 2026, RxSight, Inc. (the “Company”) filed a Current Report on Form 8-K (the “Initial Report”) with the Securities and Exchange Commission to report, among other things, the appointment of Mark Wilterding as the Company’s Chief Financial Officer. The Company is filing this Current Report on Form 8-K/A to amend the Initial Report (i) t…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 25, 2026, RxSight, Inc. (the “ Company ” ) issued a press release announcing its results of operations and financial condition for the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished in this Current Report on Form 8-K under
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On December 13, 2025, the Company appointed Mark Wilterding as its Chief Financial Officer (and principal financial and accounting officer), effective January 11, 2026 (the “Effective Date”), replacing Shelley Thunen in such capacities. Prior to joining the Company, Mr. Wilterding, age 48, served as the senior vice president, global finance for Edw…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On January 11, 2026, RxSight, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing certain preliminary unaudited fourth quarter and full-year 2025 financial and operational results. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1. In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information furnished in this Current Report on Form 8-K under