Dexcom (DXCM)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - DevicesSnapshot 2026-10-29
$79.93+1.67%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - DevicesSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put DXCM beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Health Care Equipment: fringe margins under pressure (4q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 16% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 8%.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 28% growth a year, above the roughly 14% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskDXCM’s case rests on strong financial performance and cash-backed profits, with profitability improving. Revenue growth slowed from 15% to 11% year over year, despite a Q3 earnings beat. Q3 non-GAAP earnings beat consensus, and Dexcom raised guidance. DXCM trades at 30× P/E versus a 30× peer median, while market expectations exceed our growth forecast. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 21%. Peer multiples imply a price about 28% below where it trades; our read remains intact, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. DXCM is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 29 analysts currently covering DXCM (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 12 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for DXCM in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare DXCM with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DXCM Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Health Care Equipment — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put DXCM next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Repurchase shares under the authorized program
2026 revenue outlook supports growth, while another $1B authorization advances the repurchase objective.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $79.93
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $79.93.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Improve operating margin and profitability
Reported multi-year-high margins and raised guidance support profitability and revenue-growth objectives.
Advances: Increase revenue guidance and grow revenue
Coverage push aligns with revenue growth objectives.
Advances: Increase revenue guidance and grow revenue
Analyst upgrade supports revenue growth expectations.
Advances: Increase revenue guidance and grow revenue
Expanded access and product updates support revenue growth.
Advances: Increase revenue guidance and grow revenue
Q2 growth supports revenue guidance increase.
Advances: Increase revenue guidance and grow revenue
Lifting revenue outlook directly supports growth objectives.
Advances: Increase revenue guidance
Q2 earnings call indicates increased revenue guidance.