Reading PSIX? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PSIX free→Reading PSIX? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PSIX free→NASDAQIndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachinerySnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality is fragile, reported profits aren't backed by cash. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, but risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 59% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk, as it trades below peer multiples while recent financials are weak or earnings quality is fragile. Key factors to watch include guidance changes and sector trends, as these could significantly impact PSIX's outlook. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $39.44. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $39 PSIX trades at 9× p/e, below its 24× p/e peer median. Our $95 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 59% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 23%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 0 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=4882).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.34x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated fragile grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=3333).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.87 → $0.27 (-69.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 67% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$394.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$866.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $6,860.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a positive shift in the sector. This would help Power Solutions stand out against peers in a maturing industrial market.
Confirms:Revenue growth reported above 5% year over year in the next quarterly report.
Disproves:Revenue growth remains at or below 5% year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for PSIX yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Resignation of Chief Executive Officer On May 12, 2026, Constantine (“Dino”) Xykis resigned from his employment with Power Solutions International, Inc. (the “Company”) as Chief Executive Officer of the Company, and all other positions he held with the Company and its subsidiaries, effective May 12, 2026 (the “Resignation Date”). In connection with…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
PSIX Power Solutions International, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 31 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
PH Parker Hannifin | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 78 of 100 | full | moderate |
ITW Illinois Tool Works | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 89 of 100 | fair | moderate |
GWW W. W. Grainger | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 77 of 100 | full | moderate |
DOV Dover Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 63 of 100 | fair | low |
9 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=1113).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
The company aims to focus on business opportunities that support gross margins at or around 25%.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Gross profit was $29.4M in 2026-Q1, down from $41.8M in 2025-Q4, indicating limited progress in maintaining the targeted margin level. The focus on maintaining margins at 25% is a recurring priority, but financials show a decline in gross profit.
“The Company intends to focus on business opportunities that can support gross margins at or around the 25% level.”
“Management expects continued full year sales growth and moderate margin improvement.”
The company anticipates stronger sales growth in the second half of 2026, approximately in line with sales in the second half of 2025.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Revenue in 2026-Q1 was $128.6M, down from $191.2M in 2025-Q4. The company anticipates stronger sales growth in the second half of 2026, but current financials show a decline in revenue, indicating a need for improvement to meet expectations.
“The Company anticipates stronger sales growth in the second half of 2026, approximately in line with sales in the second half of 2025.”
Management expects continued full year sales growth and moderate margin improvement from products serving data center markets.
Newly stated in 2025-Q4. Revenue in 2025-Q4 was $191.2M, but declined to $128.6M in 2026-Q1. The focus on data center market growth is a strategic priority, yet the financials show a decline in revenue, indicating limited progress in this area.
“Management expects continued full year sales growth and moderate margin improvement from the products serving data center markets.”
in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, and will not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document filed under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in suc…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On March 6, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Power Solutions International, Inc. (the “Company”) approved the Power Solutions International, Inc. 2026 Phantom Unit Plan (the “Plan”). The Plan is designed to incentivize eligible service providers of the Company by granting cash-settled awards (“Phantom Units”) tied to the fair market va…
Regulation FD Disclosure On March 11, 2026, Power Solutions International, Inc. (the “Company”) held two investors’ calls, attended by pre-registered investors and analysts who had requested the opportunity to speak with management. On March 12, 2026, the Company became aware that shortly after the calls, an unknown attendee posted on X (formerly Twitter) a purported transcript of one of the calls, despite instructions on the calls that the calls were not to be recorded or disseminated. The p…
in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, and will not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document filed under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in suc…