NeuroPace, Inc. (NPCE)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - DevicesSnapshot 2026-10-29
$13.01+0.62%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - DevicesSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put NPCE beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Health Care Equipment: fringe margins under pressure (4q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 16% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 37% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskNPCE depends on its stated growth engine, but the desk has no earnings history to verify its trajectory. The company was unprofitable over the past year, and recent financial performance is weak. NPCE trades at 4.3× sales versus a 2.9× peer median, near its 4.9× history. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, despite that peer premium. Management running behind on a stated commitment is the specific thesis risk. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 30%. Peer multiples imply a price about 26% above where it trades; the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. NPCE is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 10 analysts currently covering NPCE (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for NPCE in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NPCE Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Health Care Equipment — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put NPCE next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Advance FDA approval for IGE indication expansion
Positive insights on FDA path support regulatory objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $13.01
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $13.01.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Threatens: Advance FDA approval for IGE indication expansion
FDA test could delay IGE indication expansion.
Advances: Increase revenue guidance for 2026
Strong RNS growth supports revenue guidance for 2026.
FDA approval enhances product offering and growth potential.
Increased price target reflects positive revenue outlook.