Reading NAUT? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track NAUT free→Reading NAUT? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track NAUT free→NASDAQHealth CareBiotechnologySnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance is strong, and management's recent track record has been steady. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, which may impact future performance. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $2.25. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Not enough valuation methods to set a 12-month read yet.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Not enough signal yet.
Over the trailing year it converted 0.87x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
1 material management or governance event in the past 24 months, led by legal/regulatory items. Historically, Health Care names rated stable grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 52% for the rest of the cohort, n=618).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.14 → $-0.14 (+0.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$309.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$911.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $4,329.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If the health care sector's revenue growth picks up, it could benefit Nautilus. This would signal a better environment for growth.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth speeds up to 10% or more.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth keeps slowing down below 10%.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for NAUT yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 28, 2026, Nautilus Biotechnology, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release reporting its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished in this Current Report under
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
No score history yet for this stock.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Biotechnology.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
NAUT Nautilus Biotechnology Inc | — | — | elevated |
ABBV AbbVie | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 85 of 100 | fair | low |
AMGN Amgen | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 78 of 100 | full | moderate |
GILD Gilead Sciences | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 100 of 100 | fair | moderate |
VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 80 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLV
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if Nautilus can improve its loss-making status. Investors will look for signs of better financial health.
Confirms one read:The earnings report shows smaller losses. It also shows a way to make money.
Confirms the other:The earnings report shows bigger losses. There is no clear way to make money.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 26, 2026, Nautilus Biotechnology, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release reporting its financial results for the quarter and fiscal year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished in this Current Report under
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 28, 2025, Nautilus Biotechnology, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release reporting its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished in this Current Report under
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On July 31, 2025, Nautilus Biotechnology, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release reporting its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished in this Current Report under