Mosaic Company (The) (MOS)
NYSEMaterialsAgricultural InputsSnapshot 2026-09-14
$25.05-0.56%
Close 2026-09-14 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsAgricultural InputsSnapshot 2026-09-14
Research Workspace
Put MOS beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Materials: fringe margins under pressure (0q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 39%, softest on free-cash-flow yield.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 44% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskMosaic's growth depends on managing high sulfur costs while maintaining capital expenditures. Revenue grew 14% year over year, and the latest quarter beat expectations with an EPS of 0.13. It trades at 17.5× P/E, slightly below the peer median of 17.6×. The price reflects less growth than forecast, indicating modest expectations. A specific risk is the potential for guidance cuts, with a 42% miss probability for the next quarter. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades (about fair). This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-14. MOS is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 20 analysts currently covering MOS (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 6 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for MOS in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare MOS with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Free account required to save the handoff. No credit card.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOS Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put MOS next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Continue cost reduction and efficiency initiatives targeting $150 million savin…
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-14. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $25.05
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $25.05.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Rising sulfur prices threaten cost reduction initiatives.
Threatens: Maintain capital expenditures at $1.25 billion
High sulfur costs impact earnings and capital allocation.
Earnings miss raises concerns about future performance.
New product launch in China supports growth objectives.
