Reading GTLS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track GTLS free→Reading GTLS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track GTLS free→NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachinerySnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and management's recent track record has been steady. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. The sector backdrop is a headwind, and compared with sector peers, it is below typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 6% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. If GTLS cuts guidance on the next call, that's a meaningful negative. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $206.66. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $207 GTLS trades at 27× p/e, in line with its 24× p/e peer median. Our $195 fair value reflects that, high confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 6% near-term growth, below our forecast of about 26%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=4882).
Over the trailing year it converted -4.04x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the US dollar and the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $2.56 → $1.97 (-23.4% / 30d). 0 raised, 2 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 0% of analysts rate Buy.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$9.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$38.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $577.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: The acquisition's completion is crucial for Chart's growth and future strategy. It could reshape the company's market position.
Confirms:The acquisition will close by mid-2026 as planned. All regulatory approvals are received.
Disproves:The acquisition may be delayed. It might not get the needed approvals.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for GTLS yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On June 15, 2026, Chart Industries, Inc. (“Chart”), Baker Hughes Company (“Baker Hughes”) and Jillian C. Evanko entered into an amendment (the “Amendment”) to that certain Senior Advisor Agreement, dated as of November 16, 2025 (the “Senior Advisor Agreement”), by and between Chart and Ms. Evanko, which was previously reported on Form 8-K filed on…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
GTLS Chart Industries | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 5 of 100 | full | moderate |
PH Parker Hannifin | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 78 of 100 | full | moderate |
ITW Illinois Tool Works | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 89 of 100 | fair | moderate |
GWW W. W. Grainger | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 77 of 100 | full | moderate |
DOV Dover Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 63 of 100 | fair | low |
2 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Industrials names rated stable grew net income 60% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=792).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Finalize the acquisition process with Baker Hughes to enhance strategic growth.
Focus on enhancing operating income through cost management and efficiency improvements.
Increase cash flow from operations to strengthen financial stability.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow shows financial health. It supports future growth plans.
Confirms:Cash from operations improves to above $0 in 2026-Q2.
Disproves:Cash from operations remains negative in 2026-Q2.
Why it matters: Free cash flow is vital for funding growth and paying down debt. Positive trends signal financial health.
Confirms:Free cash flow increases compared to Q1 2026, surpassing $66.2 million.
Disproves:Free cash flow decreases or remains below $66.2 million.
Why it matters: This acquisition could help Chart Industries grow. It may also improve its market position.
Confirms:Look for a press release or SEC filing to confirm the acquisition is complete.
Disproves:Watch for any delays or problems with the acquisition process.
Why it matters: A growing backlog shows strong future sales. This is key for stable revenue.
Confirms:Backlog increases from $5.89 billion in Q1 2026, indicating strong order flow.
Disproves:Backlog decreases or remains flat, suggesting weak demand.
Why it matters: Better operating income means the company is controlling costs well. This can increase profits.
Confirms:Operating income should improve by at least 10% from one quarter to the next.
Disproves:Operating income may fall or stay the same compared to earlier quarters.
Why it matters: If the sector shows renewed growth, it could benefit Chart Industries as well.
Confirms one read:Sector revenue growth should be more than 8% compared to last year.
Confirms the other:Sector revenue growth may stay below 6% compared to last year.
Why it matters: Better cash flow shows the company is healthier. It also means operations are more efficient.
Confirms:Cash flow from operations should rise by at least 15% from one quarter to the next.
Disproves:Cash flow from operations decreases or remains stagnant.
Why it matters: Better margins mean better cost management. This helps build investor confidence.
Confirms:Operating income margin improves from Q1 2026. It reaches above 19.1%.
Disproves:Operating income margin drops further or stays below 19.1%.
Why it matters: Backlog levels show future revenue potential. An increase means strong demand.
Confirms:Backlog increases year over year in Q2 2026.
Disproves:Backlog decreases or remains flat year over year in Q2 2026.
Other Events. As previously reported, on July 28, 2025, Chart Industries, Inc., a Delaware corporation (“Chart”), Baker Hughes Company, a Delaware corporation (“Baker Hughes”), and Tango Merger Sub, Inc., a Delaware corporation and an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of Baker Hughes (“Merger Sub”) entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (as it may be amended from time to time, the “Merger Agreement”), pursuant to which Chart will be acquired by Baker Hughes through a merger of Merger Sub…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 27, 2026, Chart Industries, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a news release announcing the Company’s financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the news release is furnished with this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. All information in the news release is furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” with the Securities and Exchange Commission for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchang…
and in the press release attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report shall not be incorporated by reference into any filing with the SEC made by Chart, whether made before or after the date hereof, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing. Forward-Looking Statements The matters discussed in this current report include “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Exchange Act, about the plans, strategies,…