Reading CVV? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CVV free→Reading CVV? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CVV free→NASDAQIndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachinerySnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and the company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Management's recent track record has been steady, and it has a capital-friendly stance. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with CVV trading below typical for its sector peers. Peer multiples imply a price about 33% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk, as it trades below peer multiples, but recent financials are weak. This analysis is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $6.81. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $6.81 CVV trades at 2× p/s, below its 3× p/s peer median. Our $10 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 34% below a flat-multiple fair value, in line with our forecast of about -43%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=3678).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.63x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$373.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$872.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $4,104.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If revenue growth speeds up, it could signal a positive shift in the business. This would help counter the current mixed signals.
Confirms:Revenue growth is speeding up again. It is now above 5% year over year.
Disproves:Revenue growth continues to decelerate or stays below 5% year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for CVV yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On May 14, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the first quarter March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this report (including Exhibit 99.1) is being furnished pursuant to
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CVV CVD Equipment Corp | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 23 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
PH Parker Hannifin | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 78 of 100 | full | moderate |
ITW Illinois Tool Works | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 89 of 100 | fair | moderate |
GWW W. W. Grainger | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 77 of 100 | full | moderate |
DOV Dover Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 63 of 100 | fair | low |
3 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Industrials names rated stable grew net income 60% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=792).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Complete the sale of the Stainless Design Concepts business division to Atlas Copco Group.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The divestiture of the Stainless Design Concepts business division was completed as planned. This strategic move aligns with the company's focus on core operations. The financial impact of this divestiture on revenue and profitability will be observed in subsequent quarters.
“Completed the sale of all or substantially all of the assets related to its SDC business division.”
Focus on improving operating income through cost management and operational efficiency.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Operating income was negative at -$1,796,000 in 2026-Q1, compared to -$758,000 in 2025-Q4 and -$1,140,000 in 2025-Q2. The trajectory shows limited progress in improving operating income, highlighting the need for enhanced cost management and operational efficiency.
“Operating income was negative at -$1,796,000.”
“Operating income was negative at -$758,000.”
“Operating income was negative at -$1,140,000.”
Improve cash flow from operations to support business sustainability and growth.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Cash from operating activities was negative at -$852,000 in 2026-Q1, compared to positive $397,000 in 2025-Q4 and negative -$3,170,000 in 2025-Q2. The trajectory indicates fluctuating cash flow performance, with a need for consistent improvement to support business sustainability.
“Cash from operating activities was negative at -$852,000.”
Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets On April 1, 2026, CVD Equipment Corporation (the “Company”), completed the previously announced sale of all or substantially all of the assets related to its Stainless Design Concepts (“SDC”) business division to a subsidiary of the Atlas Copco Group based in Nacka, Sweden (the “Buyer”), pursuant to that certain Asset Purchase Agreement, dated as of March 23, 2026 (the “Asset Purchase Agreement”). Pursuant to the Asset Purchase Agreement, the…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On March 30, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this report (including Exhibit 99.1) is being furnished pursuant to
Entry Into Material Definitive Agreement On March 23, 2026, CVD Equipment Corporation, a New York corporation (the “Company”), entered into an Asset Purchase Agreement (the “Asset Purchase Agreement”) with the Atlas Copco Group based in Nacka, Sweden (the “Buyer”) Under the Asset Purchase Agreement, the Company has agreed to sell to the Buyer all or substantially all of the assets related to the Company’s Stainless Design Concepts (“SDC”) business division and excluding any and all other asse…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On November 10, 2025, the Company issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this report (including Exhibit 99.1) is being furnished pursuant to
“Cash from operating activities was positive at $397,000.”
“Cash from operating activities was negative at -$3,170,000.”