Reading BWEN? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track BWEN free→Reading BWEN? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track BWEN free→NASDAQIndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachinerySnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality is fragile, reported profits aren't backed by cash. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, while risk is elevated and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 59% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk, as it trades below peer multiples, but recent financials are weak or earnings quality is fragile. Key factors to watch include guidance changes and sector trends, as they could significantly impact BWEN's outlook. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $3.96. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $3.96 BWEN trades at 18× p/e, below its 24× p/e peer median. Our $9.62 fair value sits above the price; high confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 59% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 11%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=4882).
Over the trailing year it converted -0.87x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated fragile grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=3333).
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, the US dollar.
9 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=1113).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.02 → $-0.01 (+57.1% / 30d). 1 raised, 0 cut, 3 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$291.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$879.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,075.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Earnings will provide insights into Broadwind's performance and market conditions. This is crucial for understanding its future.
Confirms one read:Earnings report shows revenue growth year over year.
Confirms the other:Earnings report shows revenue decline year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for BWEN yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
of Form 8-K and shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”) or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into the filings of the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”) or the Exchange Act regardless of any general incorporation language in such filings. Please refer to Exhibit 99.1 for a discussion of ce…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
BWEN Broadwind Inc | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 63 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
PH Parker Hannifin | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 78 of 100 | full | moderate |
ITW Illinois Tool Works | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 89 of 100 | fair | moderate |
GWW W. W. Grainger | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 77 of 100 | full | moderate |
DOV Dover Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 63 of 100 | fair | low |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Broadwind reaffirmed its revenue guidance for the full-year 2026 at $140M to $150M.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Broadwind reaffirmed its revenue guidance for 2026 at $140M to $150M. Revenue for 2026-Q1 was $34.057M, indicating a need for significant growth to meet the annual target. The trajectory shows limited progress towards the guidance.
“Broadwind reaffirmed its financial guidance for the full-year 2026.”
“For the full-year 2026, Broadwind currently anticipates the following: $ in millions Low Midpoint High Total Revenue $140.0 $145.0 $150.0”
Broadwind aims to improve its operating income, as evidenced by recent positive results.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Operating income improved to $389,000 in 2026-Q1 from a loss of $82,000 in 2025-Q4, indicating a positive shift in operational efficiency. This improvement suggests progress in cost management and operational execution.
“Operating income improved to $389,000 in 2026-Q1 from a loss of $82,000 in 2025-Q4.”
Why it matters: The FOMC's choices can change interest rates. This can affect Broadwind's market.
Confirms one read:When the FOMC raises interest rates, it shows the economy is strong.
Confirms the other:When the FOMC cuts interest rates, it shows the economy is weak.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a shift in the industrials sector. This would be important for Broadwind's performance.
Confirms:Three-year revenue growth in the industrials sector rises back toward 10% or higher.
Disproves:Three-year revenue growth in the industrials sector stays below 5%.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 5, 2026 the Company issued a press release announcing, among other things, that it is withdrawing its previously announced financial guidance for 2026 in connection with the closing of the Transaction. The Company anticipates giving further updates in its first quarter earnings release and earnings call, scheduled for Tuesday, May 12, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and the paragraph thereof entitled “F…
of the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) on September 10, 2025 (“Manitowoc Transaction” and, together with the Transaction, the “Strategic Transactions”). The Manitowoc Transaction resulted in the consolidation of the Company’s wind business in the Facility. In 2026, the Company further evaluated its strategy and determined that it would sell the Facility, resulting in the Company’s exit from the wind market. This Current Report on…
Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets. On April 30, 2026, the Seller completed the Transaction. The assets sold in the Transaction consisted of real property plus certain equipment, machinery, other personal property, specified service contracts, and permits used in the Seller’s production facility located in Abilene, Texas. The foregoing description of the terms of the Purchase Agreement is not complete and is qualified in its entirety by reference to the Purchase Agreement, whi…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On April 30, 2026, (the “Closing Date”) Broadwind Heavy Fabrications, Inc. (the “Seller”), a wholly owned subsidiary of Broadwind, Inc. (the “Company”), entered into a Purchase and Sale Agreement (the “Purchase Agreement”) with Freeman Enclosure Systems, LLC, (the “Buyer”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of IES Holdings, Inc., pursuant to which the Seller sold the real property and certain assets contained therein which comprise the Seller’s production f…