Mission Produce, Inc. (AVO)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesFood DistributionSnapshot 2026-09-14
$12.39-3.28%
Close 2026-09-15 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesFood DistributionSnapshot 2026-09-14
Research Workspace
Put AVO beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 6% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 1% on a typical day and fell roughly 34% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskAVO's growth depends on its ability to integrate the Calavo acquisition. The company needs to improve operating income and realize synergies from this deal. Revenue grew 26% year over year, and the latest quarter beat expectations. AVO trades at 22× P/E, above the 16× peer median. This suggests the price reflects modest growth expectations compared to our view. If AVO cuts guidance, it could face a 27% miss probability. Peer multiples imply a price about 16% below where it trades. This read is provisional; the thesis is on watch.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-15. AVO is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 4 analysts currently covering AVO (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVO Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Food Distributors — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put AVO next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Integrate Calavo acquisition to realize synergies
Profitability headwinds may hinder Calavo acquisition synergies.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-15. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Improve operating income and margin recovery
Supply-driven margin pressure affects operating income recovery.
Advances: Integrate Calavo acquisition to realize synergies
Record volumes indicate successful integration of Calavo acquisition.
Advances: Integrate Calavo acquisition to realize synergies
Increased synergies from Calavo acquisition support growth objectives.
Advances: Improve operating income
Strong Q2 results suggest significant operating income improvement.
Threatens: Improve operating income
Quarterly results miss forecasts, impacting operating income.
Advances: Enhance cash flow from operations
Forecasted EBITDA and synergies enhance cash flow expectations.
Acquisition of Calavo Growers supports growth strategy.