Reading DIT? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track DIT free→Reading DIT? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track DIT free→
AMEXConsumer StaplesFood DistributionSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral. Earnings quality is robust, and management's track record is stable. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, DIT is below typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 50% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is expensive, growth-justified. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $74.00. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $74 DIT trades at 39× p/e — 2.3× the 17× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $48 fair value is low-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 54% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 7%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated neutral grew net income 52% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=1526).
Over the trailing year it converted 60.74x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated robust grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 51% for the rest of the cohort, n=1037).
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates.
2 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated stable grew net income 53% of the time over the next year (vs 47% for the rest of the cohort, n=379).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLP
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$63.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$390.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $2,314.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Retail sales data gives insight into consumer spending trends. This impacts AMCON's sales outlook.
Confirms one read:Retail sales increase reported above 0.5% month over month.
Confirms the other:Retail sales decrease reported below -0.5% month over month.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for DIT yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On April 20, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing financial results for its second fiscal quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached to this report as an exhibit. The information in this report (including the exhibit) shall not be deemed to be "filed" for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section. The information…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Food Distributors.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
DIT AMCON Distributing Co | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 23 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
SYY Sysco | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 71 of 100 | fair | moderate |
USFD US Foods | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 32 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
PFGC Performance Food Group | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 27 of 100 | full | moderate |
CHEF Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 33 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
Why it matters: Earnings will reveal if revenue growth is stabilizing or declining. This affects future performance.
Confirms one read:Revenue growth reported above 4% year over year in the earnings call.
Confirms the other:Revenue growth reported below 4% year over year in the earnings call.
Why it matters: Changes in unemployment claims can signal shifts in consumer spending power. This affects AMCON's business.
Confirms one read:Weekly claims reported below 200,000.
Confirms the other:Weekly claims reported above 300,000.
OTHER EVENTS. On February 10, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing that its Board of Directors declared a 50% special stock dividend payable on March 20, 2026, to holders of record of all of the issued and outstanding shares of the Company’s common stock as of the close of business on March 6, 2026. Stockholders will receive additional shares of the Company’s common stock based on a dividend ratio of 0.5 share of Company common stock for every one share owned as of the close of…
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On January 19, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing financial results for its first fiscal quarter ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached to this report as an exhibit. The information in this report (including the exhibit) shall not be deemed to be "filed" for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section. The informat…
Other Events. On December 18, 2025, the Company's board of directors declared a special cash dividend of $0.28 per common share. This cash dividend is payable on January 30, 2026 to shareholders of record as of December 29, 2025. A press release announcing the dividend is set forth in Exhibit 99.1 of this report.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On November 7, 2025, the Company issued a press release announcing financial results for its fiscal year ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached to this report as an exhibit. The information in this report (including the exhibit) shall not be deemed to be "filed" for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section. The information set…