Alphatec Holdings, Inc. (ATEC)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - DevicesSnapshot 2026-10-29
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - DevicesSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put ATEC beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Health Care Equipment: fringe margins under pressure (4q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 15% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 69% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskATEC’s spine-surgery business depends on continued revenue growth, despite slowing recent growth. It posted 13% year-over-year revenue growth in Q3 2026, down from 15% in Q2. Q3 non-GAAP earnings beat consensus, though ATEC remains unprofitable over the past year. ATEC trades at 2.2× sales versus a 2.9× peer median, above its 1.8× historical multiple. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, though the outlook was lowered to $862 million revenue for 2026. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 34%. Peer multiples imply a price about 40% above where it trades; our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. ATEC is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 14 analysts currently covering ATEC (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 5 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for ATEC in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare ATEC with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Compare now without an account. Saving and monitoring require an account.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATEC Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Health Care Equipment — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put ATEC next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Achieve approximately $862 million total revenue in 2026
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $7.04
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $7.04.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Lowered revenue outlook pressures the 2026 target; 16% EBITDA margin target only partly offsets the risk.

Advances: Achieve approximately $882 million total revenue in 2026
CEO's investment signals confidence in future growth.
