Alumis, Inc. (ALMS)
NASDAQHealth CareBiotechnologySnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →NASDAQHealth CareBiotechnologySnapshot 2026-07-31
Reading ALMS? Create a free portfolio, then add this holding for ongoing Reports and tracking. Track it in a free portfolio. No credit card.
Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Biotechnology is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
View ThesisRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 24%, softest on free-cash-flow margins.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 37% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskALMS needs to maintain its growth to justify its high valuation. The company has steady recent performance, but it remains unprofitable. It trades at 431 times sales, while the peer median is 9 times. This large gap suggests the market expects strong future growth. If ALMS cuts guidance on the next call, it could face a significant drop. Peer multiples imply a price about 26% above where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. ALMS is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 11 analysts currently covering ALMS (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 5 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for ALMS in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Biotechnology — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Positive trial data supports regulatory submission timeline.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $28.25
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $28.25.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.