ADT Inc. (ADT)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-10-29
$9.87+33.20%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put ADT beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue growth is slowing — up about 2% over the past year and decelerating.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 13%.
View QualityManagement screens strong on earnings delivery.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskADT’s main case rests on steady earnings, though revenue growth has slowed. Revenue growth edged from 1% to 2% year over year, and Q2 FY2026 earnings beat consensus. ADT trades at 11× P/E versus the 15× peer median; expectations look modest versus our view. The reported acquisition headline remains unverified because its article has not been read. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 24%. Peer multiples imply a price about 33% above where it trades; our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. ADT is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 6 analysts currently covering ADT (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Continue this research
Compare ADT with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADT Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Specialized Consumer Services — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put ADT next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Reported $10-per-share acquisition would materially affect shareholder returns and ADT’s standalone outlook.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Reported $15.3B acquisition would materially change ownership and capital-allocation prospects.
