Reading SXI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SXI free→Reading SXI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SXI free→NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachinerySnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong. Earnings quality is fragile, meaning profits lack cash support. Management's recent track record has been steady. Risk is moderate, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, SXI is below typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 46% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is expensive, growth-justified. This is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $309.28. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $309 SXI trades at 36× p/e — 1.5× the 24× p/e peer median, and above its own 25× history. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $212 fair value is medium-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 46% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 14%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Flags: expensive valuation, weak execution quality. Capped at elevated by the Mania regime.
For similar setups historically (n=2,301): about 43% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 77% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated strong grew net income 69% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=3696).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.83x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated fragile grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=3333).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $2.35 → $2.35 (+0.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 3 cut, 5 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
Divergence: fundamentals are strong but estimates are being cut. Worth reading the recent material events.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$145.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$280.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $1,272.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Paying dividends means the company is doing well. It also shows they care about shareholders.
Confirms:Company confirms dividend payments for the next quarter.
Disproves:The company stops or lowers its dividend payments.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for SXI yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
DEPARTING DIRECTORS OR CERTAIN OFFICERS; ELECTION OF DIRECTORS; APPOINTMENT OF CERTAIN OFFICERS; COMPENSATORY ARRANGEMENTS TO CERTAIN OFFICERS On May 12, 2026, Standex International Corporation (the “Company”) announced the promotion of Ademir Sarcevic, currently Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer, to the position of Executive Vice President – Corporate and Group President – Electronics. In his expanded role, Mr. Sarcevic will be responsible for driving accelerated growth acr…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SXI Standex International Corporation | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 27 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
PH Parker Hannifin | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 74 of 100 | full | moderate |
ITW Illinois Tool Works | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 89 of 100 | fair | moderate |
GWW W. W. Grainger | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 76 of 100 | full | moderate |
DOV Dover Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 63 of 100 | fair | low |
1 material management or governance event in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Industrials names rated stable grew net income 60% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=792).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Increase sales from fast growth markets by 45% year-on-year to reach approximately $270 million.
Plan to release over fifteen new products contributing approximately 300 bps of growth.
Continue to maintain and increase dividend payments, reflecting financial stability.
Focus on driving accelerated growth in the Electronics segment through leadership changes and strategic initiatives.
Why it matters: Maintaining dividends shows financial health. Any cut could signal trouble.
Confirms:Dividend per share remains at $0.34 or increases in the next quarter.
Disproves:Dividend per share is cut below $0.34 in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if Standex is on track to grow sales by 45%.
Confirms:Q3 earnings report shows sales growth of at least 10% year over year.
Disproves:Q3 earnings report shows sales growth below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Strong sales from fast growth markets are key to overall revenue growth. This will show if the company is on track to meet its goals.
Confirms:Q4 sales from fast growth markets exceed $70 million, showing strong growth.
Disproves:Q4 sales from fast growth markets are below $60 million. This shows weaker performance.
Why it matters: Growth in the Electronics segment matters for how well the company does.
Confirms one read:Electronics segment reports at least 15% growth in the next quarter.
Confirms the other:Electronics segment reports flat or negative growth in the next quarter.
Why it matters: The industrials sector is maturing. Changes in sector performance could affect Standex's growth outlook.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth speeds up to over 10% in the next quarter.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth keeps slowing down to below 5% in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Changes in operating margin show how well the company manages costs and growth.
Confirms one read:Adjusted operating margin rises to 20% or higher. This shows good cost management.
Confirms the other:The operating margin is now below 18%. This means costs are rising or there are inefficiencies.
Why it matters: New products are expected to drive growth. Their release will show if the company can innovate and capture market share.
Confirms:The company announces the launch of at least fifteen new products within the fiscal year.
Disproves:The company fails to launch at least fifteen new products by the end of the fiscal year.
Why it matters: The CFO's new role may affect strategy and execution in the Electronics segment. This is key for growth.
Confirms:The Electronics segment shows better growth metrics after the transition. Organic growth is above 7%.
Disproves:Growth in the electronics segment is now below 5% after the transition. This may show disruption.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K. Exhibit No. Description 99 Press Release of Standex International Corporation dated April 30, 2026 regarding Third Quarter Financial Results 104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document) FORWORD-LOOKING STATEMENTS This current report on Form 8-K contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Act of 1995 (the “Act”) that are intended to come within the safe harbor protection pro…
of this Current Report on Form 8-K. Exhibit No. Description 99 Press Release of Standex International Corporation dated January 29, 2026 regarding Second Quarter Financial Results 104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document) FORWORD-LOOKING STATEMENTS This current report on Form 8-K contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Act of 1995 (the “Act”) that are intended to come within the safe harbor protection…