Napco Security Technologies (NSSC)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-14
$35.86-1.10%
Close 2026-09-14 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-14
Research Workspace
Put NSSC beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Electronic Equipment & Instruments is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Sustain gross margin near 90.4% in Q3 2026: 61.3% vs 90.4% target.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 8% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens strong on capital allocation, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 1% on a typical day and fell roughly 26% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskNSSC's growth depends on sustaining revenue growth and margin expansion. Recent results show net revenue of $55.8 million, up 10% year-over-year, with gross margins expanding to 61.3%. It trades at 22.5× P/E versus a peer median of 30×, indicating expectations look modest compared to our view. The primary risk is the potential for revenue growth to slow, especially if guidance is cut. Peer multiples imply a price about 16% below where it trades. Our read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-14. NSSC is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 6 analysts currently covering NSSC (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare NSSC with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSSC Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Electronic Equipment & Instruments — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put NSSC next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Sustain revenue growth and margin expansion
Record quarter indicates growth but raises concerns about sustainability.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-14. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Continue dividend program with incremental increases
Dividend raise supports capital allocation objectives.
Advances: Sustain revenue growth and margin expansion
Record revenue supports sustained growth and margin expansion.
Advances: Sustain revenue growth and margin expansion
Earnings beat and record revenue support revenue growth and margin expansion.
