NBT Bancorp, Inc. (NBTB)
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-10-30
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put NBTB beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Regional Banks is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskMostly healthy — no soft spokes
NBT Bancorp’s case rests on loan growth while managing credit quality, supported by semiconductor projects. Its recent revenue growth slowed from 25.3% to 10.3%; Q3 earnings beat estimates modestly. NBTB trades at 1.4× P/B versus a 1.2× peer median. Expectations look modest versus our view, though its earnings yield is typical for the sector. The specific risk is guidance cuts; our model puts next-quarter miss probability at 21%. Peer multiples imply a price about 3% above where it trades; our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. NBTB is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 7 analysts currently covering NBTB (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Continue this research
Compare NBTB with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBTB Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Regional Banks — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put NBTB next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Grow loans while managing credit quality
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Specific 2027 loan-growth outlook and advancing semiconductor projects support the loan-growth objective.

Advances: Increase net income and earnings per share
Reported earnings and revenue beat modestly support earnings growth, but do not materially change the intact thesis.

Advances: Maintain dividend per share at $0.37
Dividend approval supports capital allocation objective.
Advances: Maintain dividend per share at $0.37
Cash dividend announcement reinforces capital allocation strategy.
