KeyCorp (KEY)
NYSEFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-10-30
$21.12-1.72%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put KEY beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Regional Banks is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 51% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 45%, softest on free-cash-flow yield.
View QualityManagement screens strong on earnings delivery, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationRelatively steady — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskKeyCorp’s thesis rests on delivering strong revenue and earnings growth in 2026. Revenue growth slowed from 10% in Q1 to 8.4% in Q3, despite consecutive earnings beats. Q3 2026 revenue growth was 8.4%, and reported EPS beat consensus by 10.9%. KEY trades at 1× P/B versus a 1× peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, despite modest expectations. Management is running behind on a stated commitment, which threatens execution. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 16%. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades (about fair); the thesis is on watch, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. KEY is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 20 analysts currently covering KEY (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 6 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for KEY in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare KEY with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KEY Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Regional Banks — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put KEY next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Drive strong revenue and earnings growth in 2026
Higher NIM target and roughly 10% NII growth outlook support 2026 growth, though execution remains uncertain.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $21.12
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $21.12.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Drive strong revenue and earnings growth in 2026
Q3 profit beat supports growth objectives, though the headline alone does not establish durability.
Advances: Drive strong revenue and earnings growth in 2026
Earnings beat and guidance raised to the range's upper end support 2026 growth.
Threatens: Drive strong revenue and earnings growth in 2026
Reported earnings and revenue misses temper confidence in near-term growth.
Indicates KeyCorp may struggle with capital return objectives.
Advances: Drive strong revenue and earnings growth in 2026
Reaffirming outlook supports revenue and earnings growth.
Advances: Drive strong revenue and earnings growth in 2026
Raising revenue outlook directly aligns with growth objectives.
Advances: Return capital through share repurchases
Share buyback boosts EPS, supporting capital return strategy.
