NYSEFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-08-31
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Create your account →Broken: Recent financial performance freshly dropped to the bottom half of its industry.
KeyCorp grows revenue about 10% yearly, showing strong demand. Profit on equity rose to 13%, moving toward a 15% goal. The bank returns capital by buying back $389 million in shares. These show steady growth and good capital use.
Lost deposits and high provisions could hurt earnings and returns. Guidance cuts and management changes add uncertainty. The bank may struggle to reach its 15% return target by 2027.
The price is about 8% above our fair value near $22, reflecting roughly 8% revenue growth. Our fair value is below the Street median, so the market partly prices in strong growth but not overly so.
Breaks if: ROTE fails to progress above 13% in 2026 or falls below 11% next year
Breaks if: Annual revenue falls below $7.5 billion in 2026
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a moderate risk profile with a focus on financial performance. The current thesis state is weakened, reflecting a decline in company momentum and mixed execution quality.
The market appears to have priced in a neutral valuation, suggesting that expectations are low but not overly pessimistic. The stock is seen as cheap compared to peers, indicating that some investors may still see potential.
Management has emphasized strong revenue and earnings growth, which has shown some progress. However, recent financial performance has been weak, and there is a moderate risk of missing future guidance.
The thesis hinges on the performance of sector bellwethers and whether they continue to beat earnings. Additionally, any cuts to guidance from KEY could negatively impact sentiment.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Mixed, the news cuts both ways. The latest earnings beat supports the company's growth narrative. However, concerns about future guidance raise questions about sustainability.
as of 2026-08-31
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: Quarterly share repurchases fall below $300 million consistently
Over the next 1 to 3 years, KEY's performance will depend on both management execution and broader sector trends. Not investment advice.
