Reading MCRB? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track MCRB free→Reading MCRB? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track MCRB free→NASDAQHealth CareBiotechnologySnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and management's recent track record has been fairly steady. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, which may impact performance compared to sector peers, where it is typical. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $5.97. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $5.70, MCRB's earnings are too small for P/E to mean much; on sales it trades at 32× p/s (3.5× the 9× p/s peer median). That gap is an optionality premium a financial-multiple model can't price — our $3.08 fair value covers only the as-is business, low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 85% of near-term growth above a flat-multiple fair value; not enough history to forecast a comparison. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Flags: expensive valuation, a turbulent sector regime (Heating).
For similar setups historically (n=2,301): about 43% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 77% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Health Care names rated neutral grew net income 50% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=3115).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.90x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates.
6 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Health Care names rated neutral grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 50% for the rest of the cohort, n=842).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-2.11 → $-2.30 (-9.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$264.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$854.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $8,037.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Securing funds is critical for operations and future growth plans.
Confirms:New funding or partnerships will help keep operations going.
Disproves:Not getting funding may lead to cuts or delays in operations.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for MCRB yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Amendment of Asset Purchase Agreement On June 2, 2026, Seres Therapeutics, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into Amendment No. 1 (the “APA Amendment”) to the Asset Purchase Agreement, dated as of August 5, 2024 (as previously amended by that certain Letter Agreement, dated September 30, 2024 and that certain Letter Agreement, dated December 31, 2024, the “Purchase Agreement”), by and between the Company and Société des Produits Nestlé S.A., a société an…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Biotechnology.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
MCRB Seres Therapeutics Inc | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 70 of 100 | — | high |
ABBV AbbVie | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 85 of 100 | fair | low |
AMGN Amgen | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 81 of 100 | full | moderate |
GILD Gilead Sciences | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 99 of 100 | fair | moderate |
VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 80 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLV
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Seres aims to fund its operations well into the first quarter of 2027.
Seres entered into an amendment to the Asset Purchase Agreement with Nestlé.
Why it matters: A rise in healthcare revenue growth may show a wider recovery. This could help Seres.
Confirms:Healthcare sector revenue growth exceeds 10% year over year.
Disproves:Healthcare sector revenue growth remains below 10% year over year.
Why it matters: Changing this agreement could help growth. It may also support management's plan.
Confirms:A public announcement will confirm the change to the Asset Purchase Agreement.
Disproves:No progress or a public statement shows the change has stopped.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensation Arrangements of Certain Officers. On May 30, 2026, Hans-Juergen Woerle, M.D., Ph.D. resigned from his position as a member of the board of directors of Seres Therapeutics, Inc. (the “Company”) and on the committees on which he serves, effective May 31, 2026. Dr. Woerle’s departure is not due to any disagreement with the Company on any matter relating to the Company’s operations, po…
of this Current Report, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 12, 2026, Seres Therapeutics, Inc. (the “Company”) announced its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025 and provided operational updates. The full text of the press release issued in connection with the announcement is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K (the “Current Report”).
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On February 27, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Seres Therapeutics, Inc. (the “Company”) appointed Richard N. Kender, a current member of the Board, to serve as Executive Chair of the Board and as Interim Chief Executive Officer of the Company, Matthew Henn, Ph.D., the Company’s Chief Scientific Officer, to the additional role of Pres…