Home BancShares (HOMB)
NYSEFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-10-29
$30.09+1.24%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put HOMB beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Regional Banks is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS remains within guidance range $2.44 to $2.53 in FY26: Diluted EPS: $0.59 per share.
View ThesisRevenue growth is slowing — up about 1% over the past year and decelerating.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskHOMB rests on steady earnings supported by record Q3 net income and an expanded buyback. Revenue growth remains modest, rising 3.0% year over year in Q3 FY2026. Q3 non-GAAP EPS beat consensus, reporting $0.65 against $0.63. HOMB trades at 1× P/B versus a 1× peer median, with expectations modest versus our view. The specific pressure is FY26 diluted EPS guidance of $2.44 to $2.53, alongside reported quarterly EPS of $0.59. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 19%. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades (about fair); the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. HOMB is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 10 analysts currently covering HOMB (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for HOMB in the last 4 months.
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Compare HOMB with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOMB Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Regional Banks — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put HOMB next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Maintain stable and growing earnings per share (EPS)
Expanded buyback supports per-share earnings, though the stock-move headline alone signals no change to operations.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $30.09
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $30.09.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Maintain stable and growing earnings per share (EPS)
Record net income supports stable and growing EPS objective.
Leadership change may impact strategic direction and execution.
Advances: Maintain stable and growing earnings per share (EPS)
Record net income supports stable and growing EPS objective.
Advances: Complete and integrate Mountain Commerce Bancorp acquisition
Cost savings from Mountain Commerce conversion enhance growth objective.
Advances: Maintain stable and growing earnings per share (EPS)
Earnings beat supports stable and growing EPS objective.
Advances: Maintain stable EPS guidance
Q2 earnings and acquisition support stable EPS growth.