Reading GNSS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track GNSS free→Reading GNSS? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track GNSS free→NASDAQInformation TechnologyScientific & Technical InstrumentsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed, and it trades below typical for sector peers. Peer multiples imply a price about 83% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk, as it trades below peer multiples while recent financials are weak. Key factors to watch include any potential guidance cuts and the performance of sector bellwethers. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $1.72. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $1.88 GNSS trades at 2× p/s, below its 4× p/s peer median. Our $11 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 83% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 74%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 68% for the rest of the cohort, n=3704).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.69x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
12 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated volatile grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=793).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.03 → $0.03 (+0.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 0 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$163.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$518.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,333.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show how Genasys is doing financially. This is key for understanding its growth.
Confirms one read:Earnings report shows revenue growth above the previous quarter and improved margins.
Confirms the other:The earnings report shows falling revenue or worse financial results.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for GNSS yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On June 9, 2026, Genasys Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), entered into a Loan Agreement (the “Loan Agreement”) with Maran Partners Fund, LP, a Delaware limited partnership (the “Lender”), pursuant to which the Lender extended an unsecured term loan to the Company in the principal amount of $4.3 million (the “Loan”). The closing under the Loan Agreement also occurred on June 9, 2026. The proceeds of the Loan, net of the origination fee (…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Electronic Equipment & Instruments.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
GNSS Genasys Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 28 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
KEYS Keysight Technologies | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 89 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
ROP Roper Technologies | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 94 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
TDY Teledyne Technologies | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 76 of 100 | full | moderate |
TRMB Trimble Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 93 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management aims to deliver record revenue and net income profitability for fiscal 2026.
The company aims to achieve annual gross margins of over 50% for fiscal 2026.
The company is focusing on capital allocation to secure financial stability, including entering a $4.3M loan agreement.
Why it matters: Revenue trends are key to achieving record revenue in 2026. A decline would show challenges.
Confirms:Q2 revenue stabilizes or grows year over year compared to $15.5M.
Disproves:Q2 revenue declines further from $15.5M.
Why it matters: Keeping gross margins above 50% is key for making money. A drop shows possible problems.
Confirms:Gross margin stays above 50% in upcoming quarters.
Disproves:Gross margin falls below 50%.
Why it matters: This loan helps with financial stability. How it is used will affect future spending.
Confirms one read:Management says they are using the $4.3M loan well to improve operations.
Confirms the other:Management says they are having trouble using the loan well.
Why it matters: This loan could impact Genasys' financial health and growth plans. Investors will want to see how the company uses this capital.
Confirms one read:Genasys will share a press release. It will explain how they will use the loan money.
Confirms the other:No clear communication on the loan's use or negative implications for cash flow.
Why it matters: New off-balance sheet debts may mean more financial risk for Genasys. This could lower investor trust.
Confirms:Management will explain the off-balance sheet debts. They will discuss how it affects financial stability.
Disproves:There are no updates or bad news about the off-balance sheet debts.
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The disclosure set forth under
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. The following information is furnished pursuant to Item 2.02, “Results of Operations and Financial Condition,” and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section. Such information, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be incorporated by reference into any filing of the Company, whether made before or after the date hereof, regardless o…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On May 12, 2026, Genasys Inc. (the “Company”) entered into a Second Amendment to Term Loan and Security Agreement (the “Amendment”) among the Company, Evertel Technologies, LLC, Zonehaven LLC, Genasys Puerto Rico, LLC, the lenders from time to time party thereto and Cantor Fitzgerald Securities, as administrative agent and collateral agent, which extended the maturity date for the term loan provided to the Company under that certain Term Loan and Se…
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The disclosure set forth under