Reading FSP? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track FSP free→Reading FSP? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track FSP free→AMEXReal EstateReit - OfficeSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company is unprofitable. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, FSP is below typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 89% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This pattern suggests potential issues due to weak financials or fragile earnings quality. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $0.62. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $0.68 FSP trades at 1× p/s, below its 6× p/s peer median. Our $5.85 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 89% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -9%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Real Estate names rated weak grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=1506).
Over the trailing year it converted -0.12x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
4 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Real Estate names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=5004).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLRE
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$292.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$577.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $7,105.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Signal changed from 'mixed' to 'cautious'.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If the real estate sector shows renewed revenue growth, it could benefit Franklin Street Properties. This would signal a better environment for the company.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth is getting closer to 10% year over year.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains below 5% year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for FSP yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 28, 2026, Franklin Street Properties Corp. (the “Registrant”) announced its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. The full text of the press release issued in connection with the announcement is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The press release references certain supplemental operating and financial data that is now available on the Registrant’s website. A copy of the supplemental o…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Office REITs.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
FSP Franklin Street Properties Corp. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 17 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
BXP BXP, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 81 of 100 | full | moderate |
ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 47 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
VNO Vornado Realty Trust | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 76 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
HPP Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 60 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Continue to provide a dividend of $0.01 per share despite financial challenges.
Focus on reducing operating income losses which have been consistently negative.
Efforts to stabilize cash flow from operating activities amid fluctuations.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 9, 2026, Franklin Street Properties Corp. (the “Registrant”) announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025. The full text of the press release issued in connection with the announcement is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The press release references certain supplemental operating and financial data that is now available on the Registrant’s website. A copy of t…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Credit Agreement On February 26, 2026 (the “Closing Date”), Franklin Street Properties Corp. (the “Company”) entered into a Credit Agreement (the “New Credit Agreement”) with Alter Domus (US) LLC, as administrative agent (the “Agent”), and Silver Oak Capital LLC, an affiliate of TPG Credit (collectively, the lenders from time to time party thereto, the “Lenders”). The New Credit Agreement provides for a secured credit facility (the “Credit Facility”…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointments of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (b) Departure of Director. On February 27, 2026, Mr. Milton P. Wilkins, Jr., a member of our Board of Directors (the “Board”), notified us of his decision not to stand for re-election at our upcoming 2026 annual meeting of stockholders (the “2026 Annual Meeting”). Mr. Wilkins will continue to serve until his term expires at our 2026 Annual Meeting…
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement. On February 26, 2026, in connection with the entry into the New Credit Agreement described above, the Company terminated and prepaid all outstanding indebtedness under (i) the Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, dated as of September 27, 2018 (as amended by the First Amendment to Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, dated as of February 10, 2023 and by the Second Amendment to Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, dated…